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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR SUNDAY – 8/2/2020
RACE 1
TWO HORSES IN HERE HAVE RUN QUICK EARLY TO WIN THIS RACE, THE ML FAVORITE GUANA CAY AND UYUNI.
HOWEVER, THERE ARE 5 FIRST TIME STARTERS ALL THOUGHT TO BE CONTENDERS (8/1 OR LESS).
PASS.
RACE 2
HOROSCOPE HOLDS A DEFINITE EARLY SPEED ADVANTAGE. THE ONLY OTHER HORSE WHO COULD PRESSURE HIM SERIOUSLY EARLY IS MILLS.
THE TOP CLOSER IS CURLIN GREY. WALKOFF AND SHADOW RULER SHOULD ALSO BE COMING LATE AND SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE EARLY PACE THAN CURLIN GREY.
RACE 3
ONLY 5 BETTING INTERESTS AND A DISTINCT LACK OF EARLY SPEED.
THAT SHOULD LEAVE IT TO THE CLOSERS TO DOMINATE LED BY BLUEGRASS PARKWAY, SHORE MAGIC AND CHANNEL ISLAND. RACES AT THS UNIQUE 1 3/8 DISTANCE ON TURF USUALLY SETS UP FOR HORSES STRONG IN THE LANE.
RACE 4
J P’S SONG STANDS OUT EARLY BUT BETTER HAVE A BIG LEAD TURNING FOR HOME AS HE HAS LITTLE LATE STAMINA. ML FAVORITE KILMARKNOCK FIGURES TO BE TRACKING THE TOP HORSE AS WILL DETERMINED ONE AND LONG ISLAND CITY.
THE ARE NO CLOSERS TO FEAR.
RACE 5
IAN GLASS AND MEGACITY SHOULD BE FIGHTING IT OUT FOR EARLY COMMAND. LONGSHOT IMPAZIBLE ODDS COULD BE IN THE GARDEN SPOT BEHIND THE TOP TWO.
TOP CLOSER IS ML FAVORITE UNLEVERAGED AND LONGSHOT BAD GUY WILL ALSO BE COMING STRONGLY LATE.
RACE 6
BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL HAS RUN HUGE EARLY. BOTH RIGHT TO FREEDOM AND SPUN D’ETAT WILL BE IN HOT PURSUIT.
PROBLEM IS 8 FIRST TIME STARTERS WHO COULD BE ANY KIND, 5 OF THEM CONSIDERED CINTENDERS INCLUDING THE TOP 2 ML CHOICES. KIND OF RACE TO WATCH AND TAKE NOTES FOR THE FUTURE.
RACE 7
THESE SHORT TURF SPRINTS ARE USUALLY DOMINATED BY SHARP EARLY SPEEDERS. DOWSE’S BEACH AND SHIRAZ, THE TOP 2 ML CHOICES ARE THE QUICKEST EARLY AND DUNCASTLE WILL ALSO BE CLOSE BY.
THE ONLY CLOSER TO FEAR IS BANANA THIEF
RACE 8
AN OVER ABUNDANCE OF QUALITY AND FAST EARLY SPEED SIGNED ON FOR THIS ALLOWANCE DIRT SPRINT.
RIKEN IS CLEARLY FASTEST AMONG THE CONTENDERS. MOONACHIE AND FORT WORTH WILL BE CHASING HIM EARLY. THERE ARE ALSO 2 LONGSHOTS THAT MUST BE RESPECTED. MIDNIGHT WHISKEY HAS THE KIND OF EARLY SPEED THAT COULD PUT HIM CLOSEST TO RIKEN EARLY AND WUSHU WARRIOR IS NO SLOUCH EARLY EITHER.
TOP CLOSER IS FORT WORTH, THE ML FAVORITE, WHO ALSO IS ONE OF THE TOP SPEED HORSES, A UNIQUE QUALITY THAT GIVES A HORSE AND JOCKEY GREAT OPTIONS. WITH SO MUCH SPEED SIGNED ON I SUSPECT THIS ONE WILL DO HIS RUNNING LATE. HE IS THE ONLY QUALITY LATE RUNNER TO FEAR.
RACE 9 – BIRDSTONE STAKES $100,000
THERE IS LITTLE SURPRISE THAT IN A 1 3/4 DIRT RACE THERE IS VERY LITTLE EARLY SPEED IN HERE. THE CLEAR LEADER IS AMERICAN TABOO. COME CATCH HIM.
THE CLOSERS ARE MANY. THE BEST OF THOSE IS ROCKETRY. HIGHLAND SKY AND EXPERT ALSO ARE STRONG IN THE STRETCH AND EVEN STANDARD DEVIATION COULD GET A PIECE.
RACE 10
STRIKING SPEED, THE ML FAVORITE, HAS A HUGE EARLY SPEED ADVANATAGE AND COULD EASILY GO GATE TO WIRE. ONLY LONGSHOT KICKIN’ KIRBY FIGURES TO BE CLOSE ENOUGH EARLY TO ENGAGE HIM.
A LACK OF CLOSERS ALSO PLAYS INTO THIS SCENARIO. ONLY TACTICIAN HAS THE KIND OF CLOSING KICK TO BE DANGEROUS IN THE DRIVE.
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