- This topic has 22 replies, 11 voices, and was last updated September 3, 2020 at 2:46 pm by
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We will be transitioning over to this forum soon and retiring the old one. I expect that will be traumatic for some, so allow me to explain why we are doing it.
– The new forum (this forum) is part of the WordPress environment that everything else is on. So it will look and act like the rest of the E-Ponies site.
– One less set of credentials to remember!
– Encourages people to register so they can comment on the forum!
– One less software license to manage. Yes, that saves me a little bit of money but it is not very expensive. It is really more about the convenience.So please post here regularly. Get to know one another! Talk it up.
Liam
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Ya know what goes right up my spine?
Yes, real names. Somehow after being online, ids I can relate to, names I can’t. Wherever and whenever I do contests, the last thing I want to do is type out someone’s real name.
* <—— My attachment when I know how. Maybe a copy and paste?
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Glad to see all the new Avatars! The forums are coming along.
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Hey People. I figure I’d hide this here. We can call it a little tip for reading this post.Check out this URL…
https://e-ponies.com/racing-picks/picks/?trackCode=LRL&sdate=2019-02-18&type=2But what?!? Is that past races? Hmmm… Thats cool!
We don’t have an interface for this yet, and its not a feature we can support. Yet.
But for those Hackers out there…
In the URL you will see two dates mentioned. sdate and edate. This is Start and End date! And the Track Code will select the track! You can find all the codes in the URL’s of the Picks and Track pages! So enjoy!Oh, we will be adding a bit of a calendar widget to this so that it wont require editing the URL. But I figured I share the secrete that this is available!
This should be all of the Hawthorne races we have. Our list grows!
https://e-ponies.com/racing-picks/picks/?trackCode=HAW&sdate=2017-03-08&type=1I believe only Weekly Subscribers or Higher will get full access to past tracks.
Anyways Have Fun! Please keep in mind we may want to clear our races when we add the upcoming race results. Will be REALLY cool when you can see who won!
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What happened to the App “OneClickPony”?? I used to love this App to pick horses for me and noticed it doesnt work anymore, what happened?? I paid $10 for this App a few years ago.
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Hello Yankeelpn,
We had retired the App and am bringing the same features to the site. There are plans to bring a dedicated app to the various stores. We do have an alternative that you can find in the settings of the browser. It should say “Install E-Ponies’ or “Install Desktop Icon” dependent on the browser. This will make the site behave just like the App providing offline access of any pages you had visited and it will speed things up. We also have a splash screen and Icon on the site. I encourage you to goto your browser settings while on the page.
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DERBY card except race 2
RACE 1
1, Home Base: Couldn’t get up to win the Good Lord stakes and will need a break to win today. He has a chance but will need some help from a blistering early pace that tire leaders out.
2, Seven Trumpets: Im just not seeing the 2-1 ML on this one in this race. Stalked solid fractions in the Good Lord at Ellis Park but didn’t look sharp as they neared the wire. He can win but I dont think he can win on his own. Will need help.
3, Bourbon Resolution: Won’t have the speed to win today. He’ll need the pace to fall absolutely apart. I’ll pass.
4, Midnight Sands: Comes in from UAE and thats usually enough to dissuade most bettors. I like him here. He’s never look stressed during his races and If he gets a clean break and trip I think it’s his race to lose despite the layoff. New rider Gaffalione should take notes from old jock for handling.
5, Hog Creek Hustle: This distance plays into his hands, but he will need every ounce of speed he has to notch the win. I’ll toss the last two starts, and he’s training well and could win in this short field.$2.00 WPS $4
1.00 exacta box 4-5
1.00 trifecta 4-5/ 2-4-5 / 1-2-4-5RACE 3
1, Storm King: Not much to say about him as he gave way late in his first start. May improve but I dont see a win for him today.
2, Fastly: Led early in the slop after getting knocked around. Slowly gave way in deep stretch. Could move forward in 2nd lifetime start to figure in susuperfecta again.
3, Marsac: Not the best start in his last and raced evenly for minor rewards. Barn is ho-hum in second starts and this level should prove too tough.
4, One Nation: Barn stretches him out today, but he shouldn’t be more then a susuperfecta runner with the bump in class.
5, Abaan: A couple of decent workouts but with the low percentage rider and barn I’ll look to others.
6, Pit Boss: Lost to winners in his last and just cant seem to get this distance Im not sure it will take much to win today, and he has a shot but I expect a bounce. He’s a contender but can be beat if let loose on the lead and tires in deep stretch.
7, Discharge: Has the back class to be a contender but hasn’t raced since July I think he can put enough together to loom but is dependent on pace. A rated ride can see him as a threat.
8, Too Hot: Veteran turf runner doesn’t appear to have enough to win on the dirt. He cuts back after pushing the pace in his last start. I dont think he wins but I will use him in gimmicks.
9, Speightstown Again: He goes two extra furlongs then he ever has but doesn’t have the speed to be a late contender but a well rated ride from Hernandez should see him run well enough to crack the board with his steadily improving speed figures$2.00 WPS 6-7
$1.00 exacta & trifecta 6-7 / 6-7-8
$1.00 superfecta 6-7 / 6-7-8 / 6-7-8 / 1-2-4-6-7-8-9
.50 cent pick three 6-7 / 5-10 / 5-7-8-10RACE 4
1, Big Lake: Aside from his sire there’s not much I like about him. He’ll have to beat me.
2, Copa: The one decent work out he had isn’t enough to make me side with him today.
3, Lock Up: Took the field to task in his last but paid for it in the shadow of the wire. Tacks on another furlong but if he shows speed again he should fade out of contention. Superfecta maybe ??
4, Santa Cruiser: The Graham barns sends this one out and like most of this field there’s not a lot to get excited about him but his barn is hitting at an 18% clip for first time starters.
5, Essential Quality: I guess you gotta like his breeding and his work outs are nice. The Cox barn should have him ready to compete. Why not him ?
6, Xietelehaus: Everything about this one says pass. If he beats me, he beats me.
7, Devil’s Tower: Set the pace in his debut and almost pulled it off. He’ll need to find a way to go an extra panel to win. Amy improvement could see him earn minor purse monies. Underneath for me.
8, T Money: Moves up in class and I’d like to see him off the pace just a bit. The long shot was touched up a bit at the start of his last but it didn’t seem to affect him terribly. Big price underneath ?
9. Me We: Just decent work outs for this two year old son of Fusaichi Pegasus who foals appear to take longer to get ready. I find it tough to use him in the susuperfecta for a thrill but I may.
10. Copley: Canadian invader looks to take this fields candy. He switches to dirt and loses the hood. Ward should draw a lot of dollars, and he might get my $2.00 in this sub spectacular field.
11, Rye Sense of Humor: He didn’t appear to know what to do in the stretch of his last as he tracked the pace and then move steadily forward. Only a big effort by the winner kept him from getting his photo taken. I’ll use him and hope he improves enough to win at a price.
12, King’s Mischief: Stalked a solid pace but the overland route he uses into the stretch ended his day. Could move forward in his second start and his work outs indicate this may happen. Could be a price today.
ae13. Cool Quest: If he pulls in he will start for a trainer thats on a slight roll. Other than that I have a tough time using him in the top three today.$2.00 WPS 5-10
$1.00 exacta box 5-10-11-12
.10 cent superfecta 5-10 / 5-10-11-12 / 5-10-11-12 / 5-7-8-10-11-12
.50 cent pick three 5-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 6-11RACE 5
1, Majestic Ro: Laparoux let him loose on the lead, and he couldn’t maintain it late despite the pedestrian fractions to hold off the cavalry. Went into hiding after that and his return should be too tough.
2, Handy: Not for me today.
3, El Ahijado: This group should prove too tough.
4, Trident Hit: Moves over to turf and dons the blinkers. He’s run well without them and with the class drop could hang around for minor rewards at this length.
5, Spanish Kingdom: Appeared to just chase the fractions in his last. It wasn’t a bad run for a graded race level and two back he stalked solid early splits and then the race slowed down and seem to lull others to sleep. This let him spring out to earn the win. I can only use him in the gimmicks but wouldn’t be surprised if he won.
6, Job Security: You may be able to toss his last, and he seems to compete at this level on dirt at Churchill. He’s training well and could be used as a price in the superfecta if you can toss enough rivals out.
7, Attorney Tim: He shows good late speed and your’e going to have to guess which runner shows up today. He’s developing a good race/bad race pattern and this is bad race time, if you buy into that. Interesting runner.
8, On A Spree: He’s tough not to like but the class alone makes it tough. I like his speed and hopefully Gaffalione uses it wisely. Runs on this surface and distance nicely. I dont think he’s likely to win but may be well rested off the break to run a big one and stun.
9, Stage Ready: He’s seems to finally figure out what to do. He’s not the winner but I like his late speed, and he seems to run well versus tougher. Im chanting “Bet the horse and not the rider, bet the horse and not the rider” and will use him in the bottom of the gimmicks.
10, Parkland: Earned his first win and returns to a tougher level. Will his speed figures stop improving ? Everything seems to point to a big run with an honest effort but will his lack of speed keep him from winning. That’s the big question. I think he can at least finish in the money.
11, Cavalry Charge: Didn’t like the softer going in his last and finished well off the leaders. He’ll need to bounce back today but I dont think he gets the pace setup he needs to win.
12. Lastchanceatglory: I dont think he runs big enough here to be a threat. I can’t see him winning two in a row. He may be a possible superfecta runner with a big effort.
Ae13, Groom Lake: Maybe next time but today only if more then half the field drops out.
Ae14, Ransack: See above
mto15, Admire: No bets if off the turf.$1.00 exacta box 5-7-8-10
.10 cent superfecta 5-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 3-4-5-8-9-10
.50 cent pick three 5-7-8-10 / 6-11 / 4-5RACE 6
1, Hersh: Even paced runner only has remote bottom of the gimmick chances today.
2, Sir Alfred James: Stretches out and moves up in class. Shows good running ability over this surface but the extra distance could loom a threat. His barn does well when switching runners off the turf. Gelding could finish in the money.
3, Coastal Defense: Bumps up to face tougher and doesn’t seem to have the speed to win but with the shorter distance could battle for smaller purse money under Alamo who seems to handle him well.
4, Wayne O: Just didn’t seem to like the mud in his last. I think I can toss that one. He’s facing winners now and seems to have enough to hang around minor rewards but the rust of 9 months off will probably keep him from hitting the board.
5, Wild Popit: These should go a little faster than him, and he should struggle in the stretch. He can run at this level but will need others to spit bits or decide to not show up to enhance his chances today. Tough spot.
6, Cool Bobby: California runner seems to have adjusted to the Midwest and although beaten in his last, a repeat of that effort can make him a tough foe. I don’t think you’ll need top-notch speed to win this race, and he might just have enough to get the job done.
7, Street Class: Another Cal shipper who shows good late foot in three of his last four start. He will need all of it to try and come from off the pace to secure the win. Im not sure he can do this off the layoff.
8, Verb: Always seems to be hanging around picking up checks. Doesn’t seem to mind being a guest at Churchill. He should be well rested and will help set the pace. I dont think he will finish sharply but can stick around for the exotics.
9, Peruvian Boy: He will need to do more as they hit the stretch. His career speed figures says he won’t. The big drop in form in his last prove the bettors correct, and he should finish well off the board today.
10, Stilts: He always works out nicely but at this level he doesn’t have enough speed to be a threat.
11, Cowboy Diplomacy: He seems to need a fast track to run his best. Post position 11 can help Bridgman see the group and decide early how to use what speed he has. I like the efforts at Oak lawn Park and hopefully these come over to Churchill Down.
12, Alex Joon: He hasn’t raced since last December but his work outs says to not worry. I think he can fit here but will Rasmussen have him ready.$2.00 WPS 6
$1.00 exacta 6-11 / 5-6-8-11
.10 cent superfecta 6-11/ 5-6-8-11 / 2-5-6-7-8-11 / 2-3-5-6-7-8-11-12
.50 cent pick three 6-11 / 5-10-12 / 4-5RACE 7
1, Award Winner: Stays at this level and switches from turf to dirt. His speed has slipped a bit recently and I’ll toss him here as I only see superfecta possibilities with the move to face tougher runners.
2, All West: He’s seems to locate trouble lately and it usually costs him. Versus these tougher runners he should finish off the board. Bejarano did get him his last win two back at a easier level but that fact and a $1.00 gets you a cup of coffee….maybe.
3, Casino Star: He actually fits at this level but the year off makes me uneasy about using him. Solid workouts but he’s going to have to beat me.
4, Signalman: Former Kentucky Derby contender with a lot of promise that didn’t materialize returns to a surface he is actually good over. He’s never missed the board at Churchill and today should be no different. The class relief he should enjoy today gives him every chance to factor.
5, Tank Commander: Lightly raced horse who likes this track I think should loom large in the stretch Despite the move up in class and layoff I think I his tracking running style I have to use him.
6, Sagaponack: No explosive speed that can see him run by enough runners to be a clear gimmick horse. I do think he has just enough to threaten the superfecta if there are some key scratches.
7, Chess Chief: Declining speed figures makes him a hard decision to use. I can’t see him as a clear winner, but he’s seems able to be in a position to earn a decent check. He’s a compelling runner I’ll use in the gimmicks.
8, Mr. Quality: I can’t endorse this one at this level. If he destroys my wagers then it was destined to be.
9, Aurelius Maximus: Somehow he just kept running in his last race to notch the win. The somewhat impressive win was nice but fatigue was setting as he neared the wire so the reduced distance help. I doubt he can repeat that effort off a long layoff.
10, Bodexpress: Cuts back, and he is the class of the field. He likes to be on the bit but longer distances trip him up. This speed runner must be rated too last. I can’t not use him to win, but he always seems to tire before deep stretch. Money burner can’t be fully ignored.
11, Savvy: Shows just average speed and in this group that may be enough. However I think he’s in over his head and is seeking smaller purse money only.
12, Locally Owned: This race could actually set up for him with knucklehead 10, Bode express setting the early pace then tiring. He may have peaked in his last but anything like his last two starts puts him in with a chance despite post position 12$2.00 WPS 5
$1.00 exacta 5-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12
.10 cent superfecta 5-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12 / 4-6-7-9-10-12
.50 cent pick three 5-10-12 / 4-5 / 2RACE 8
1, Taishan: He’ll probably be on the lead but will need to fend off veteran turf runners as they open stride late which I dont think he can. On another note, if he’s aggressive on the lead he could shake the race up.
2, American Butterfly: This distance and level should keep his name from being called much. He’ll have to beat me.
3, Sugoi: He has shown speed versus much cheaper than he’ll face today. Look for his odds, like his chance to win float upwards to the sky.
4, Field Pass: Found a little road trouble in the G3 Transylvania and it almost cost him the win He struggles a bit at this level but the lack of quality speed entered gives him a chance to factor if he can turn up his late turn of foot but I’ve always like Lemon Drop Kid offspring on turf and will use him just because of that fact.
5, Smooth Like Strait: I think he’s going to be put on the engine and try to wire the field. Should be sharper in his second off the layoff. Velazquez is crafty enough to know what he has under him and The effort in the War Chant at Churchill showed that A repeat of that makes him the one to beat.
6, Sensation: Will try to run with leaders but this should prove to be a flaw exercise. He can alter the race by backing into any runner thats trying to move forward. I think he can be used underneath.
7. King Theo: He won’t do enough to be the winner but there’s always the superfecta.
8, Fancy Liquor: His last two efforts over softer turf conditions were decent. He almost got past 4, Field Pass two back in the G3 Transylvania. I think he challenges for the lead and could get brave if he’s still there as they exit the stretch.$2.00 WPS 5
$1.00 exacta 4-5 / 4-5-8
.50 trifecta 4-5 / 4-5-8 / 1-4-5-8
.50 cent pick three 4-5 / 2 / 10RACE 1
1, Home Base: Couldn’t get up to win the Good Lord stakes and will need a break to win today. He has a chance but will need some help from a blistering early pace that tire leaders out.
2, Seven Trumpets: Im just not seeing the 2-1 ML on this one in this race. Stalked solid fractions in the Good Lord at Ellis Park but didn’t look sharp as they neared the wire. He can win but I dont think he can win on his own. Will need help.
3, Bourbon Resolution: Won’t have the speed to win today. He’ll need the pace to fall absolutely apart. I’ll pass.
4, Midnight Sands: Comes in from UAE and thats usually enough to dissuade most bettors. I like him here. He’s never look stressed during his races and If he gets a clean break and trip I think it’s his race to lose despite the layoff. New rider Gaffalione should take notes from old jock for handling.
5, Hog Creek Hustle: This distance plays into his hands, but he will need every ounce of speed he has to notch the win. I’ll toss the last two starts, and he’s training well and could win in this short field.$2.00 WPS $4
1.00 exacta box 4-5
1.00 trifecta 4-5/ 2-4-5 / 1-2-4-5RACE 3
1, Storm King: Not much to say about him as he gave way late in his first start. May improve but I dont see a win for him today.
2, Fastly: Led early in the slop after getting knocked around. Slowly gave way in deep stretch. Could move forward in 2nd lifetime start to figure in susuperfecta again.
Marsac: Not the best start in his last and raced evenly for minor rewards. Barn is ho-hum in second starts and this level should prove too tough.
4, One Nation: Barn stretches him out today, but he shouldn’t be more then a susuperfecta runner with the bump in class.
5, Abaan: A couple of decent workouts but with the low percentage rider and barn I’ll look to others.
6, Pit Boss: Lost to winners in his last and just cant seem to get this distance Im not sure it will take much to win today, and he has a shot but I expect a bounce. He’s a contender but can be beat if let loose on the lead and tires in deep stretch.
7, Discharge: Has the back class to be a contender but hasn’t raced since July I think he can put enough together to loom but is dependent on pace. A rated ride can see him as a threat.
8, Too Hot: Veteran turf runner doesn’t appear to have enough to win on the dirt. He cuts back after pushing the pace in his last start. I dont think he wins but I will use him in gimmicks.
9, Speightstown Again: He goes two extra furlongs then he ever has but doesn’t have the speed to be a late contender but a well rated ride from Hernandez should see him run well enough to crack the board with his steadily improving speed figures$2.00 WPS 6-7
$1.00 exacta & trifecta 6-7 / 6-7-8
$1.00 superfecta 6-7 / 6-7-8 / 6-7-8 / 1-2-4-6-7-8-9
.50 cent pick three 6-7 / 5-10 / 5-7-8-10RACE 4
1, Big Lake: Aside from his sire there’s not much I like about him. He’ll have to beat me.
2, Copa: The one decent work out he had isn’t enough to make me side with him today.
3, Lock Up: Took the field to task in his last but paid for it in the shadow of the wire. Tacks on another furlong but if he shows speed again he should fade out of contention. Superfecta maybe ??
4, Santa Cruiser: The Graham barns sends this one out and like most of this field there’s not a lot to get excited about him but his barn is hitting at an 18% clip for first time starters.
5, Essential Quality: I guess you gotta like his breeding and his work outs are nice. The Cox barn should have him ready to compete. Why not him ?
6, Xietelehaus: Everything about this one says pass. If he beats me, he beats me.
7, Devil’s Tower: Set the pace in his debut and almost pulled it off. He’ll need to find a way to go an extra panel to win. Amy improvement could see him earn minor purse monies. Underneath for me.
8, T Money: Moves up in class and I’d like to see him off the pace just a bit. The long shot was touched up a bit at the start of his last but it didn’t seem to affect him terribly. Big price underneath ?
9. Me We: Just decent work outs for this two year old son of Fusaichi Pegasus who foals appear to take longer to get ready. I find it tough to use him in the superfecta for a thrill but I may.
10. Copley: Canadian invader looks to take this fields candy. He switches to dirt and loses the hood. Ward should draw a lot of dollars, and he might get my $2.00 in this sub spectacular field.
11, Rye Sense of Humor: He didn’t appear to know what to do in the stretch of his last as he tracked the pace and then move steadily forward. Only a big effort by the winner kept him from getting his photo taken. I’ll use him and hope he improves enough to win at a price.
12, King’s Mischief: Stalked a solid pace but the overland route he uses into the stretch ended his day. Could move forward in his second start and his work outs indicate this may happen. Could be a price today.
Ae13. Cool Quest: If he pulls in he will start for a trainer thats on a slight roll. Other than that I have a tough time using him in the top three today.$2.00 WPS 5-10
$1.00 exacta box 5-10-11-12
.10 cent superfecta 5-10 / 5-10-11-12 / 5-10-11-12 / 5-7-8-10-11-12
.50 cent pick three 5-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 6-11RACE 5
1, Majestic Ro: Laparoux let him loose on the lead, and he couldn’t maintain it late despite the pedestrian fractions to hold off the cavalry. Went into hiding after that and his return should be too tough.
2, Handy: Not for me today.
3, El Ahijado: This group should prove too tough.
4, Trident Hit: Moves over to turf and dons the blinkers. He’s run well without them and with the class drop could hang around for minor rewards at this length.
5, Spanish Kingdom: Appeared to just chase the fractions in his last. It wasn’t a bad run for a graded race level and two back he stalked solid early splits and then the race slowed down and seem to lull others to sleep. This let him spring out to earn the win. I can only use him in the gimmicks but wouldn’t be surprised if he won.
6, Job Security: You may be able to toss his last, and he seems to compete at this level on dirt at Churchill. He’s training well and could be used as a price in the susuperfecta if you can toss enough rivals out.
7, Attorney Tim: He shows good late speed and your’e going to have to guess which runner shows up today. He’s developing a good race/bad race pattern and this is bad race time, if you buy into that. Interesting runner.
8, On A Spree: He’s tough not to like but the class alone makes it tough. I like his speed and hopefully Gaffalione uses it wisely. Runs on this surface and distance nicely. I dont think he’s likely to win but may be well rested off the break to run a big one and stun.
9, Stage Ready: He’s seems to finally figure out what to do. He’s not the winner but I like his late speed, and he seems to run well versus tougher. Im chanting “Bet the horse and not the rider, bet the horse and not the rider” and will use him in the bottom of the gimmicks.
10, Parkland: Earned his first win and returns to a tougher level. Will his speed figures stop improving ? Everything seems to point to a big run with an honest effort but will his lack of speed keep him from winning. That’s the big question. I think he can at least finish in the money.
11, Cavalry Charge: Didn’t like the softer going in his last and finished well off the leaders. He’ll need to bounce back today but I dont think he gets the pace setup he needs to win.
12. Lastchanceatglory: I dont think he runs big enough here to be a threat. I can’t see him winning two in a row. He may be a possible susuperfecta runner with a big effort.
Ae13, Groom Lake: Maybe next time but today only if more then half the field drops out.
Ae14, Ransack: See above
mto15, Admire: No bets if off the turf.$1.00 exacta box 5-7-8-10
.10 cent superfecta 5-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 5-7-8-10 / 3-4-5-8-9-10
.50 cent pick three 5-7-8-10 / 6-11 / 4-5RACE 6
1, Hersh: Even paced runner only has remote bottom of the gimmick chances today.
2, Sir Alfred James: Stretches out and moves up in class. Shows good running ability over this surface but the extra distance could loom a threat. His barn does well when switching runners off the turf. Gelding could finish in the money.
3, Coastal Defense: Bumps up to face tougher and doesn’t seem to have the speed to win but with the shorter distance could battle for smaller purse money under Alamo who seems to handle him well.
4, Wayne O: Just didn’t seem to like the mud in his last. I think I can toss that one. He’s facing winners now and seems to have enough to hang around minor rewards but the rust of 9 months off will probably keep him from hitting the board.
5, Wild Popit: These should go a little faster than him, and he should struggle in the stretch. He can run at this level but will need others to spit bits or decide to not show up to enhance his chances today. Tough spot.
6, Cool Bobby: California runner seems to have adjusted to the Midwest and although beaten in his last, a repeat of that effort can make him a tough foe. I don’t think you’ll need top-notch speed to win this race, and he might just have enough to get the job done.
7, Street Class: Another Cal shipper who shows good late foot in three of his last four start. He will need all of it to try and come from off the pace to secure the win. Im not sure he can do this off the layoff.
8, Verb: Always seems to be hanging around picking up checks. Doesn’t seem to mind being a guest at Churchill. He should be well rested and will help set the pace. I dont think he will finish sharply but can stick around for the exotics.
9, Peruvian Boy: He will need to do more as they hit the stretch. His career speed figures says he won’t. The big drop in form in his last prove the bettors correct, and he should finish well off the board today.
10, Stilts: He always works out nicely but at this level he doesn’t have enough speed to be a threat.
11, Cowboy Diplomacy: He seems to need a fast track to run his best. Post position 11 can help Bridgman see the group and decide early how to use what speed he has. I like the efforts at Oak lawn Park and hopefully these come over to Churchill Down.
12, Alex Joon: He hasn’t raced since last December but his work outs says to not worry. I think he can fit here but will Rasmussen have him ready.$2.00 WPS 6
$1.00 exacta 6-11 / 5-6-8-11
.10 cent superfecta 6-11/ 5-6-8-11 / 2-5-6-7-8-11 / 2-3-5-6-7-8-11-12
.50 cent pick three 6-11 / 5-10-12 / 4-5RACE 7
1, Award Winner: Stays at this level and switches from turf to dirt. His speed has slipped a bit recently and I’ll toss him here as I only see susuperfecta possibilities with the move to face tougher runners.
2, All West: He’s seems to locate trouble lately and it usually costs him. Versus these tougher runners he should finish off the board. Bejarano did get him his last win two back at a easier level but that fact and a $1.00 gets you a cup of coffee….maybe.
3, Casino Star: He actually fits at this level but the year off makes me uneasy about using him. Solid workouts but he’s going to have to beat me.
4, Signalman: Former Kentucky Derby contender with a lot of promise that didn’t materialize returns to a surface he is actually good over. He’s never missed the board at Churchill and today should be no different. The class relief he should enjoy today gives him every chance to factor.
5, Tank Commander: Lightly raced horse who likes this track I think should loom large in the stretch Despite the move up in class and layoff I think I his tracking running style I have to use him.
6, Sagaponack: No explosive speed that can see him run by enough runners to be a clear gimmick horse. I do think he has just enough to threaten the susuperfecta if there are some key scratches.
7, Chess Chief: Declining speed figures makes him a hard decision to use. I can’t see him as a clear winner, but he’s seems able to be in a position to earn a decent check. He’s a compelling runner I’ll use in the gimmicks.
8, Mr. Quality: I can’t endorse this one at this level. If he destroys my wagers then it was destined to be.
9, Aurelius Maximus: Somehow he just kept running in his last race to notch the win. The somewhat impressive win was nice but fatigue was setting as he neared the wire so the reduced distance help. I doubt he can repeat that effort off a long layoff.
10, Bodexpress: Cuts back, and he is the class of the field. He likes to be on the bit but longer distances trip him up. This speed runner must be rated too last. I can’t not use him to win, but he always seems to tire before deep stretch. Money burner can’t be fully ignored.
11, Savvy: Shows just average speed and in this group that may be enough. However I think he’s in over his head and is seeking smaller purse money only.
12, Locally Owned: This race could actually set up for him with knucklehead 10, Bode express setting the early pace then tiring. He may have peaked in his last but anything like his last two starts puts him in with a chance despite post position 12$2.00 WPS 5
$1.00 exacta 5-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12
.10 cent superfecta 5-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12 / 4-5-7-10-12 / 4-6-7-9-10-12
.50 cent pick three 5-10-12 / 4-5 / 2RACE 8
1, Taishan: He’ll probably be on the lead but will need to fend off veteran turf runners as they open stride late which I dont think he can. On another note, if he’s aggressive on the lead he could shake the race up.
2, American Butterfly: This distance and level should keep his name from being called much. He’ll have to beat me.
3, Sugoi: He has shown speed versus much cheaper than he’ll face today. Look for his odds, like his chance to win float upwards to the sky.
4, Field Pass: Found a little road trouble in the G3 Transylvania and it almost cost him the win He struggles a bit at this level but the lack of quality speed entered gives him a chance to factor if he can turn up his late turn of foot but I’ve always like Lemon Drop Kid offspring on turf and will use him just because of that fact.
5, Smooth Like Strait: I think he’s going to be put on the engine and try to wire the field. Should be sharper in his second off the layoff. Velazquez is crafty enough to know what he has under him and The effort in the War Chant at Churchill showed that A repeat of that makes him the one to beat.
6, Sensation: Will try to run with leaders but this should prove to be a flaw exercise. He can alter the race by backing into any runner thats trying to move forward. I think he can be used underneath.
7. King Theo: He won’t do enough to be the winner but there’s always the superfecta.
8, Fancy Liquor: His last two efforts over softer turf conditions were decent. He almost got past 4, Field Pass two back in the G3 Transylvania. I think he challenges for the lead and could get brave if he’s still there as they exit the stretch.$2.00 WPS 5
$1.00 exacta 4-5 / 4-5-8
.50 trifecta 4-5 / 4-5-8 / 1-4-5-8
.50 cent pick three 4-5 / 2 / 10RACE 9
1, Cezanne: It appeared that Prat had no idea how to handle him in the Shared Belief, and he finished 4th in a field of four. It appears with the Baffert trained speed this is his race to win. He cuts back and if he gets a clean decisive trip he could be the first under the wire.
2, Echo Town: Ran into some sharp fractions rather easily and when he gathered himself in mid stretch it was over for the rest of the field. He has to go another panel today but if he’s handled correctly I dont see it being a huge problem. He could be tough to deal with in deep stretch.
3, Shashashakemeup: Tougher runners should keep him off the board. He might be able to get into the susuperfecta with a big effort.
4, Vertical Threat: His speed figures are improving, and he stretches out to a distance he’s never raced before. If he gets to the lead early it’s hard to see him holding on to it late. I might stick him in the bottom of my exotic wagers.
5, Digital: He runs well here at Churchill but anything over 6 furlongs is a question. I can only look for him to boost my susuperfecta wager.
6, Tap It To Win: Led the G1 Belmont under stern splits until Tiz The Law decided to take over. There wasn’t much he could do. He then took the lead with strong splits in the G1 HA Jerkens and got the lead late but was taken over by a determined Echo Town. I think his spirit may be a bit broken but I’ll just use him in the trifecta today. Tough horse and he will return I believe.
7, No Parole: Will show early speed but will it last an extra furlong. I dont think he can go gate to wire, but he will affect the outcome if others try to go with him. He can hang around for lessor purse money.
8, Sonneman: Tougher runners that he met in the H.A. Jerkins should be enough to keep him from getting his photo taken. He can show late speed and perhaps challenge for a superfecta trip.
9, Rushie: First start off the layoff, and he may need this race before he’s in peak condition. Turns back a few panels and this should help. Both times he’s gone this distance the trips weren’t impressive. To win he will need things to go his way, but he’s probably better used underneath.$2.00 WPS 2
$1.00 exacta 2 / 1-9
$1.00 exacta box 1-2-9
.50 trifecta 2 / 1-9 / 1-6-7-9
.10 cent superfecta 2 / 1-9 / 1-6-7-9 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9
.50 cent pick three 2 / 10 / 4RACE 10
1, Drop Anchor: Stretches out and his average speed won’t sway me to use him.
2, Sittin On Go: He’ll need more here to win.
3, Super Stock: Lone Star invaders may have enough if rated to last for the gimmicks. He will probably run himself off the board.
4, Ultimate Badger: He must deal with the added distance and shouldn’t be a threat to these.
5, Dreamer’s Disease: Switches from turf to dirt and this barn is adequate doing that. He isn’t the quickest and something tells me he shouldn’t be on the lead if he wants to win.
6, Belafonte: He gets the hood added to focus after the slow start in his last. He showed one move before flattening out and I think this will hurt any chance he has to win.
7, Pico d’Oro: His barn has been bringing him alng, and he looks like he could roll today. Tacks one another furlong but must show he like running over the Churchill surface. I dont think he really does and for me this regulates him to gimmick usage.
8, Midnight Bourbon: He beat a soft, slow group in his last but will need more to repeat today. Pace setter could alter the outcome if left alone on the lead and gets brave. I think he’s just a gimmick runner at best.
9, Crazy Shot: He’ll need a lot of luck to win. Not for me today.
10, Therideofalifetime: His name fits for this race only and his back class should offer him all the relief he needs to contend for the win. If Ge roux can rate him for two extra furlongs this should be his race to lose. I think he’ll be a little too tough for these if he doesn’t regress.
11, Notary: He won’t be fast enough to win outright and will need a lot of pace help to even have a remote chance. I dont think he will get this, and he’s running for a superfecta finish at best.$2.00 WPS $101.00 exacta 10 / 5-7-8
.50 cent trifecta 10 / 5-7-8
.10 cent superfecta 10 / 5-7-8 / 5-7-8 / 1-5-6-7-8-11
.50 cent pick three 10 / 4 / 1-2-8RACE 11
1, She’sonthewarpath: Not enough speed to be considered a threat although she runs well at this distance. Next.
2, Daddy Is a Legend: I’m not sure what happened in her last but I think it can be tossed as she virtually stopped in the stretch. She’s consistent at this distance and should be stronger in her second start off the layoff. With a couple of breaks she could win.
3, Juliet Foxtrot: Early pace setter could find it difficult to keep closers from going right on past her in deep stretch. This distance is in her wheel house, and she’ll need everything she has to win, but she’s better used underneath.
4, Newspaperofrecord: She may have benefited from a tune up race, but she’s nothing but speed and if she can get it going will be tough to catch. She’s well rested from the Chad Brown stable and clearly had the bullseye on her at this distance, surface and track.
5, Harmless: And her name fits her in this group. She rarely shows the late speed like she did in her last and this should keep her off the board.
6, Beau Recall: This veteran graded stakes runner looks tough but is showing declining form. She likes this distance. Her class as well as the late speed she possesses can keep her in contention for an in the money finish.
7, La Signare: I think she’s needs more to a threat. I dont think she’s ready to perform her best.
8, Bella Laura: It would be a surprise to see her near the leaders today. I have to look at others.$2.00 WPS 4
$1.00 exacta 4 / 2-3-6
.50 trifecta 4 / 2-3-6
.10 cent superfecta 2-4 / 2-4-3-6 / 2-4-3-6 / 1-2-3-4-6-7
.50 cent pick three 4 / 8-9 / 1-2-8Race 12
1, Mia Mischief: She usually runs better after a race off the layoff. She likes running over this surface and has only missed the board once in 9 races. The 7 panels will probably see her come up just short enough to miss the win.
2, Shesomajestic: She should be over matched.
3, Wild wood’s Beauty: Seven furlong specialist just cant seem to do enough to hit the mark. I think there is a chance she can close with a rush and could pump up the superfecta.
4, Bell’s The One: She’s not consistent enough to be a big threat and unless something strange happens, she should miss the board.
5, Crazy Sexy Munny: errr no.
6, Sally’s Curlin: I think she will be out classed and can only make a superfecta run due to her late speed and number of not so strong runners entered.
7, Lady Kate: Not today. The classier runners will keep her in the back of the pack.
8, Serengeti Empress: She has the speed to get a big lead and then try to turn back others in the stretch. This is no guaranteed win for her. Speed figures are all over the place and you have to wonder who’s going to show. The triple digit wonder filly or the spit the bitter this distance is what she likes and she’s hard to dismiss but….
9, Bellafina: She’s never missed the board at 7 furlongs and that should hold true today. There’s not much to beat entered but her speed is so inconsistent. She’s a money burner so if you use her be aware of that fact.
10, Ce Ce: California shipper will need to prove she can handle this surface. Note the good trip at Oak lawn which a lot of runners find tough. The cutback in distance should help her and with a clean trip a win isn’t out of the question but I’ll use her in my gimmick plays.$2.00 WPS 8
$1.00 exacta 8-9 / 1-8-9-10
.10 cent superfecta 8 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-3-6-7-8-9-10
.50 cent pick three 8-9 / 1-2-8 / 17Race 13
1, Factor This: Riding a 4 race win streak he’s going to help set the pace. He races well here and this distance seems to be what he likes. Long time rider Bridgman knows what he can do and if he improves should be among leaders as the hit the wire.
2, Bowies Hero: He could regress a bit over Churchill’s turf surface after racing mostly in California. Erratic speed figures also make it tough to see which runner you will get but this distance might make it a little tough to chose him as a winner.
3, Rock emperor: Well traveled turf runner has all the late speed you desire in a turf runner but will be at the mercy of the pace. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two starts and I think he comes up a step short today if they even run a tick faster standard fractions then normal.
4, Digital Age: I think he’s in over his head. I have to pass.
5, Don’tblamerocket: Not for me at this level.
6, Mr Dumas: He simply can not run with these.
7, True Valor: He may have seen his better racing days.
8, Sacred Life: I dont think he’s a huge threat to win but I do like some of the big late speed he seems to show. If he gets swift early splits that tire out leaders you may see him barreling into deep stretch upset minded but I will use him in my gimmicks.
9. Somelikeithotbrown: When racing on the green stuff he’s a slightly different animal. He’s only missed the board once in 7 tries on sod. He should tire and back up but I think he might stick around for the trifecta.
10, Spectacular Gem: I dont think he will be a threat but not he has won 5 of his 9 turf starts versus cheaper. That definitely doesn’t mean he will have a big shot here but I think I would like to see him inflate my superfecta.$2.00 WPS 1
$1.00 exacta 1 / 2-8
.50 cent trifecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9
.10 cent superfecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9 / 1-2-3-8-9-10Race 14
1, Finnick The Fierce: At least his owners can says for the rest of their lives “We had a derby runner…….ONCE”
2, Max Player: Ran under restraint and made a tepid bid as they hit the stretch in the Travers and just out muscled others to hit the board. Had to swing wide to get a clear path in the Belmont. I think if he can find a clean path and gets it together in the stretch he can hit the board but must avoid traffic in this large group.
3, Enforceable: Had a eventful trip in the Louisiana Derby and somehow got close to hitting the board while chasing decent splits. His 4th place finish in the Blue Grass was also nothing to write home about he as just ran and passed a lot of tired horses. Use him underneath.
4, Storm The Court: Thank you for participating, have a nice day!
5, Major Fed: Straight to the back of the pack in the Louisiana Derby. Made his move at the 1/2 mile pole but had nowhere to go. When he got his hole he traded paint with 14, Modernist in the stretch and that may have stopped his forward progress. The trip in the Matt Winn was a disaster. Let’s forget it. He somehow managed to run into a subpar pace in the Indiana Derby to earn a place finish. I think he’s good for superfecta placings at best
6, King Guillermo: He tracked the pace in the Arkansas derby and got close to eventual winner Nadal but was unable to get past him. Upset the Tampa Bay Derby at 50-1 when the favorite Sole Vol ante fail to get to him. I think he won’t run nearly as “well” as he did in those two starts, and he may be useful in superfecta wagers if they are affordable.
7, Money Moves: Not a lot to say about this one but if he recreates his last could boost the superfecta a few dollars
8, South Bend: He’s too slow to get excited about.
9, Mr. Big News: Just looped around the circuit mostly behind a wall of horses in the Blue Grass and was forgettable. he’ll have to beat me.
10, A Thousand Words: No, got lucky in the Shared belief, and he will definitely have to beat me today.
11, Necker Island: Had to pump the brakes in the Matt Winn despite the tepid pace. He never truly recovered but to me his stretch run looked good. he stumbled and pushed to the front in the Indiana Derby where he settled and track the pace running three wide through the turn and fought gamely to claim third. Not sure he can be a factor today
12, Sole Volante: Came up the rail strongly from a long way back in the Tampa Bay Derby but was too late to reach 49-1 winner King Guillermo. There may be too much traffic as he tries to pass others to reach the winner in this race but has the late speed to hit the board if he finds a clear path.
13, Attachment Rate: Raced mid pack early in the Blue Grass and was blocked when he tried to move forward. Reengaged the pace and made a nice move to leaders but was unable to gain ground. Tracked pace setters in the Matt Winn and when asked, seem to take a while to respond, but he did move firmly in the stretch. Looks like he could run for minor rewards if he can clear traffic
14, Winning Impression: He should be a also ran.
15, Ny Traffic: Nothing bad to say in his Louisiana Derby effort where he tracked the gate to wire winner Wells bayou at long odds. Our finished the large field despite drifting badly in mid stretch. In the Matt Winn I dont think Lopez expected the slower times but welcomed them where he almost out finished a surging 10, Max field. He’s hard not to like and if he runs his own race could, COULD, take advantage of a less then ideal trip from Tiz the Law.
16, Honor A.P.: Staked pace setters in the Santa Anita derby. Once Smith let him loose he made quick work of the field to win it. The Shared belief was not much more then a 4 horse tuneup but it was am ominous trip. I think it solidi es him as a gimmick runner.
17. Tiz the Law: What can i say. Only some terrible racing luck should keep him from winning this. Breaks from post position 17 helps him keep clear of he field and this is what he wants. I see no reason he should lose this unless Franco loses his ever loving mind.
18, Authentic: Led the Haskell gate to wire under a stout pace but almost gave it away to 15, Ny Traffic late. Broke outwardly in the Santa Anita and it cost him ground Overwhelming favorite failed to win but didn’t look too tired in the stretch. His lack of desire to finish a race strongly will keep him from winning and possibly off the board.$2.00 WPS 17
$1.00 exacta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18
.50 trifecta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-12-15-16-18
.10 cent superfecta 17 / 13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-15-16-18 / 2-3-5-6-7-11-12-13-15-16-18t appeared that Prat had no idea how to handle him in the Shared Belief, and he finished 4th in a field of four. It appears with the Baffert trained speed this is his race to win. He cuts back and if he gets a clean decisive trip he could be the first under the wire.
2, Echo Town: Ran into some sharp fractions rather easily and when he gathered himself in mid stretch it was over for the rest of the field. He has to go another panel today but if he’s handled correctly I dont see it being a huge problem. He could be tough to deal with in deep stretch.
3, Shashashakemeup: Tougher runners should keep him off the board. He might be able to get into the susuperfecta with a big effort.
4, Vertical Threat: His speed figures are improving, and he stretches out to a distance he’s never raced before. If he gets to the lead early it’s hard to see him holding on to it late. I might stick him in the bottom of my exotic wagers.
5, Digital: He runs well here at Churchill but anything over 6 furlongs is a question. I can only look for him to boost my susuperfecta wager.
6, Tap It To Win: Led the G1 Belmont under stern splits until Tiz The Law decided to take over. There wasn’t much he could do. He then took the lead with strong splits in the G1 HA Jerkens and got the lead late but was taken over by a determined Echo Town. I think his spirit may be a bit broken but I’ll just use him in the trifecta today. Tough horse and he will return I believe.
7, No Parole: Will show early speed but will it last an extra furlong. I dont think he can go gate to wire, but he will affect the outcome if others try to go with him. He can hang around for lessor purse money.
8, Sonneman: Tougher runners that he met in the H.A. Jerkins should be enough to keep him from getting his photo taken. He can show late speed and perhaps challenge for a superfecta trip.
9, Rushie: First start off the layoff, and he may need this race before he’s in peak condition. Turns back a few panels and this should help. Both times he’s gone this distance the trips weren’t impressive. To win he will need things to go his way, but he’s probably better used underneath.$2.00 WPS 2
$1.00 exacta 2 / 1-9
$1.00 exacta box 1-2-9
.50 trifecta 2 / 1-9 / 1-6-7-9
.10 cent superfecta 2 / 1-9 / 1-6-7-9 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9
.50 cent pick three 2 / 10 / 4RACE 10
1, Drop Anchor: Stretches out and his average speed won’t sway me to use him.
2, Sittin On Go: He’ll need more here to win.
3, Super Stock: Lone Star invaders may have enough if rated to last for the gimmicks. He will probably run himself off the board.
4, Ultimate Badger: He must deal with the added distance and shouldn’t be a threat to these.
5, Dreamer’s Disease: Switches from turf to dirt and this barn is adequate doing that. He isn’t the quickest and something tells me he shouldn’t be on the lead if he wants to win.
6, Belafonte: He gets the hood added to focus after the slow start in his last. He showed one move before flattening out and I think this will hurt any chance he has to win.
7, Pico d’Oro: His barn has been bringing him alng, and he looks like he could roll today. Tacks one another furlong but must show he like running over the Churchill surface. I dont think he really does and for me this regulates him to gimmick usage.
8, Midnight Bourbon: He beat a soft, slow group in his last but will need more to repeat today. Pace setter could alter the outcome if left alone on the lead and gets brave. I think he’s just a gimmick runner at best.
9, Crazy Shot: He’ll need a lot of luck to win. Not for me today.
10, Therideofalifetime: His name fits for this race only and his back class should offer him all the relief he needs to contend for the win. If Ge roux can rate him for two extra furlongs this should be his race to lose. I think he’ll be a little too tough for these if he doesn’t regress.
11, Notary: He won’t be fast enough to win outright and will need a lot of pace help to even have a remote chance. I dont think he will get this, and he’s running for a superfecta finish at best.$2.00 WPS $101.00 exacta 10 / 5-7-8
.50 cent trifecta 10 / 5-7-8
.10 cent superfecta 10 / 5-7-8 / 5-7-8 / 1-5-6-7-8-11
.50 cent pick three 10 / 4 / 1-2-8RACE 11
1, She’sonthewarpath: Not enough speed to be considered a threat although she runs well at this distance. Next.
2, Daddy Is a Legend: I’m not sure what happened in her last but I think it can be tossed as she virtually stopped in the stretch. She’s consistent at this distance and should be stronger in her second start off the layoff. With a couple of breaks she could win.
3, Juliet Foxtrot: Early pace setter could find it difficult to keep closers from going right on past her in deep stretch. This distance is in her wheel house, and she’ll need everything she has to win, but she’s better used underneath.
4, Newspaperofrecord: She may have benefited from a tune up race, but she’s nothing but speed and if she can get it going will be tough to catch. She’s well rested from the Chad Brown stable and clearly had the bullseye on her at this distance, surface and track.
5, Harmless: And her name fits her in this group. She rarely shows the late speed like she did in her last and this should keep her off the board.
6, Beau Recall: This veteran graded stakes runner looks tough but is showing declining form. She likes this distance. Her class as well as the late speed she possesses can keep her in contention for an in the money finish.
7, La Signare: I think she’s needs more to a threat. I dont think she’s ready to perform her best.
8, Bella Laura: It would be a surprise to see her near the leaders today. I have to look at others.$2.00 WPS 4
$1.00 exacta 4 / 2-3-6
.50 trifecta 4 / 2-3-6
.10 cent superfecta 2-4 / 2-4-3-6 / 2-4-3-6 / 1-2-3-4-6-7
.50 cent pick three 4 / 8-9 / 1-2-8Race 12
1, Mia Mischief: She usually runs better after a race off the layoff. She likes running over this surface and has only missed the board once in 9 races. The 7 panels will probably see her come up just short enough to miss the win.
2, Shesomajestic: She should be over matched.
3, Wild wood’s Beauty: Seven furlong specialist just cant seem to do enough to hit the mark. I think there is a chance she can close with a rush and could pump up the superfecta.
4, Bell’s The One: She’s not consistent enough to be a big threat and unless something strange happens, she should miss the board.
5, Crazy Sexy Munny: errr no.
6, Sally’s Curlin: I think she will be out classed and can only make a superfecta run due to her late speed and number of not so strong runners entered.
7, Lady Kate: Not today. The classier runners will keep her in the back of the pack.
8, Serengeti Empress: She has the speed to get a big lead and then try to turn back others in the stretch. This is no guaranteed win for her. Speed figures are all over the place and you have to wonder who’s going to show. The triple digit wonder filly or the spit the bitter this distance is what she likes and she’s hard to dismiss but….
9, Bellafina: She’s never missed the board at 7 furlongs and that should hold true today. There’s not much to beat entered but her speed is so inconsistent. She’s a money burner so if you use her be aware of that fact.
10, Ce Ce: California shipper will need to prove she can handle this surface. Note the good trip at Oak lawn which a lot of runners find tough. The cutback in distance should help her and with a clean trip a win isn’t out of the question but I’ll use her in my gimmick plays.$2.00 WPS 8
$1.00 exacta 8-9 / 1-8-9-10
.10 cent superfecta 8 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-8-9-10 / 1-3-6-7-8-9-10
.50 cent pick three 8-9 / 1-2-8 / 17Race 13
1, Factor This: Riding a 4 race win streak he’s going to help set the pace. He races well here and this distance seems to be what he likes. Long time rider Bridgman knows what he can do and if he improves should be among leaders as the hit the wire.
2, Bowies Hero: He could regress a bit over Churchill’s turf surface after racing mostly in California. Erratic speed figures also make it tough to see which runner you will get but this distance might make it a little tough to chose him as a winner.
3, Rock emperor: Well traveled turf runner has all the late speed you desire in a turf runner but will be at the mercy of the pace. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two starts and I think he comes up a step short today if they even run a tick faster standard fractions then normal.
4, Digital Age: I think he’s in over his head. I have to pass.
5, Don’tblamerocket: Not for me at this level.
6, Mr Dumas: He simply can not run with these.
7, True Valor: He may have seen his better racing days.
8, Sacred Life: I dont think he’s a huge threat to win but I do like some of the big late speed he seems to show. If he gets swift early splits that tire out leaders you may see him barreling into deep stretch upset minded but I will use him in my gimmicks.
9. Somelikeithotbrown: When racing on the green stuff he’s a slightly different animal. He’s only missed the board once in 7 tries on sod. He should tire and back up but I think he might stick around for the trifecta.
10, Spectacular Gem: I dont think he will be a threat but not he has won 5 of his 9 turf starts versus cheaper. That definitely doesn’t mean he will have a big shot here but I think I would like to see him inflate my superfecta.$2.00 WPS 1
$1.00 exacta 1 / 2-8
.50 cent trifecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9
.10 cent superfecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9 / 1-2-3-8-9-101, Finnick The Fierce: At least his owners can says for the rest of their lives “We had a derby runner…….ONCE”
2, Max Player: Ran under restraint and made a tepid bid as they hit the stretch in the Travers and just out muscled others to hit the board. Had to swing wide to get a clear path in the Belmont. I think if he can find a clean path and gets it together in the stretch he can hit the board but must avoid traffic in this large group.
3, Enforceable: Had a eventful trip in the Louisiana Derby and somehow got close to hitting the board while chasing decent splits. His 4th place finish in the Blue Grass was also nothing to write home about he as just ran and passed a lot of tired horses. Use him underneath.
4, Storm The Court: Thank you for participating, have a nice day!
5, Major Fed: Straight to the back of the pack in the Louisiana Derby. Made his move at the 1/2 mile pole but had nowhere to go. When he got his hole he traded paint with 14, Modernist in the stretch and that may have stopped his forward progress. The trip in the Matt Winn was a disaster. Let’s forget it. He somehow managed to run into a subpar pace in the Indiana Derby to earn a place finish. I think he’s good for superfecta placings at best
6, King Guillermo: He tracked the pace in the Arkansas derby and got close to eventual winner Nadal but was unable to get past him. Upset the Tampa Bay Derby at 50-1 when the favorite Sole Vol ante fail to get to him. I think he won’t run nearly as “well” as he did in those two starts, and he may be useful in superfecta wagers if they are affordable.
7, Money Moves: Not a lot to say about this one but if he recreates his last could boost the superfecta a few dollars
8, South Bend: He’s too slow to get excited about.
9, Mr. Big News: Just looped around the circuit mostly behind a wall of horses in the Blue Grass and was forgettable. he’ll have to beat me.
10, A Thousand Words:No, got lucky in the Shared belief, and he will definitely have to beat me today.
11, Necker Island: Had to pump the brakes in the Matt Winn despite the tepid pace. He never truly recovered but to me his stretch run looked good. he stumbled and pushed to the front in the Indiana Derby where he settled and track the pace running three wide through the turn and fought gamely to claim third. Not sure he can be a factor today
12, Sole Vol ante: Came up the rail strongly from a long way back in the Tampa Bay Derby but was too late to reach 49-1 winner King Guillermo. There may be too much traffic as he tries to pass others to reach the winner in this race but has the late speed to hit the board if he finds a clear path.
13, Attachment Rate: Raced mid pack early in the Blue Grass and was blocked when he tried to move forward. Reengaged the pace and made a nice move to leaders but was unable to gain ground. Tracked pace setters in the Matt Winn and when asked, seem to take a while to respond, but he did move firmly in the stretch. Looks like he could run for minor rewards if he can clear traffic
14, Winning Impression: He should be a also ran.
15, Ny Traffic: Nothing bad to say in his Louisiana Derby effort where he tracked the gate to wire winner Wells bayou at long odds. Our finished the large field despite drifting badly in mid stretch. In the Matt Winn I dont think Lopez expected the slower times but welcomed them where he almost out finished a surging 10, Max field. He’s hard not to like and if he runs his own race could, COULD, take advantage of a less then ideal trip from Tiz the Law.
16, Honor A.P.: Staked pace setters in the Santa Anita derby. Once Smith let him loose he made quick work of the field to win it. The Shared belief was not much more then a 4 horse tuneup but it was am ominous trip. I think it solidi es him as a gimmick runner.
17. Tiz the Law: What can i say. Only some terrible racing luck should keep him from winning this. Breaks from post position 17 helps him keep clear of he field and this is what he wants. I see no reason he should lose this unless Franco loses his ever loving mind.
18, Authentic: Led the Haskell gate to wire under a stout pace but almost gave it away to 15, Ny Traffic late. Broke outwardly in the Santa Anita and it cost him ground Overwhelming favorite failed to win but didn’t look too tired in the stretch. His lack of desire to finish a race strongly will keep him from winning and possibly off the board.$2.00 WPS 17
$1.00 exacta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18
.50 trifecta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-12-15-16-18
.10 cent superfecta 17 / 13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-15-16-18 / 2-3-5-6-7-11-12-13-15-16-18 -
I was thinking, it must be TRUMP, he is such a JERK! Why, oh why would he disable our arrow! What a mean guy…
Then you posted this and I thought… Ya’know… It might not be Trump!
So I thought… It must be that captcha terms of service that suddenly popped up. I traced it down to the contact us form, and I removed it.
But it STILL doesn’t work. So are you sure its not Trump?
I will look into it further and see if we can find a solution.
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