[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR THURSDAY – 8/27/2020

RACE 1

6 FURLONG MAIDEN CLAIMING $25,000

MAJESTIC VIEW 4/1 HAS BREAKAWAY TYPE EARLY SPEED THAT SHOULD ALLOW HIM TO OPEN UP IN THESE.

ONLY HORSE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE CONSIDERED IMPERIO D 2/1.

NO CLOSERS IS SIGHT.

3 FIRST TIMERS, 2 CONSIDERED CONTENDERS, POSSE CAN DISCO 5/1 AND LADY’S BOY 5/1.

RACE 2

ONLY HORSE WITH EARLY SPEED IS FORTY ZIP 5/1.

TOP CLOSER IS ALL OTHERS FOLLOW. TWO OTHERS HAVE GOOD LATE SPEED IN WITCH MOON 7/2 AND FASHION MO 8/1.

FIRST TIME STARTER LONGSHOT CEANT 10/1. WATCH THE TOTE BOARD.

RACE 3

TOP SPEED BELONGS TO EMPIRE OF WAR 8/1. ML FAVORITE VALUE PROPOSITION 3/2 CAN APPLY PRESSURE EARLY.

THIS RACE IS LOADED WITH TOP CLOSERS. SENTRY 6/1 IS THE BEST, BUT SEISMIC WAVE 5/2 AND MONARCHS GLEN 4/1 ARE ALSO STRONG IN THE DRIVE.

RACE 4

IN A RACE DEVOID OF EARLY SPEED, MODERATE PACE SHOULD BE SET BY TACTICIAN 4/1 AND BUBBA CHUCK 8/1.

BIG CLOSER IS ML FAV. JUDICIAL RESTRAINT 8/5

RACE 5

5 /1/2 FURLONGS ON TURF.

THIS TYPE OF RACE IS USUALLY WON BY SPEED HORSES AND THERE IS PLENTY OF SPEED IN HERE.

HOWEVER, 3 OF THESE 5 HORSES ARE MTO’S. IF THEY DO NOT RUN, THEN FASTEST EARLY ARE DUNCASTLE 4/1 AND DOWSE’S BEACH 8/5.

THE ONLY CLOSERS ARE GHOST GIANT 9/2 AND BANANA THIEF 8/1.

RACE 6

GONE GLIMMERING 6/1 IS QUCKEST EARLY. THE 2 NEAREST PURSUERS ARE MORE MANGO 6/5 AND GLASS CEILING 7/2.

THERE ARE NO CLOSERS VISIBLE.

RACE 7 – SMART N FANCY STAKES $85,000

A GREAT TIME 9/2 AND PEACEFUL 5/1 ARE THE CLEAR-CUT SPEED. INTRODUCED 3/1 CAN BE IN THE PICTURE RUNNING IN THE GARDEN SPOT BEHIND THE TOP 2 SPEEDS.

BIG CLOSER IS ROSE FLOWER 4/1 AND GETMOTHERAROSE 6/1. EVEN LONGSHOT SARATOGA TREASURE 10/1 CAN BE RIGHT THERE AT THE FINISH IF THE EARLY PACE COLLAPSES.

VICTORY KINGDOM 8/1 IS THE UNKNOWN FACTOR.

RACE 8

1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT CAN BE A FAIR DISTANCE FOR BOTH RUNNING STYLES OF RUNNERS.

TEXAS SWING 7/5, THE ML FAV. IS THE QUICKEST EARLY AND ONE-EYED JACK 5/1 WILL ATTEMPT TO RUNAWAY FROM THE REST.

CLOSER WILL SING FOR WINE 8/1 IS THE STRONGEST FINISHER. DANNY CALIFORNIA 4/1 AND CREATIVE STYLE 3/1 ALSO COME ON LATE AND ARE GETTING MORE RESPECT FROM THE MORNING LINE.

RACE 9

5 1/2 FURLONGS ON TURF.

IN A RACE THA FAVORS EARLY RUNNERS, ROBIN SPARKLES 6/5 IS A STANDOUT EARLY. SARATOGA LOVE 8/1 AND MO ME MO MY 6/1 SHOULD BE THE TOP HORSES CLOSEST CHASERS.

LONGSHOT SPEEDSTER MALIBU MISCHIEF 15/1 HAS THE SAME KIND OF BREAKAWAY SPEED AS THE TOP HORSE AND COULD BE THE UPSETTER OF AT LEAST A JUICY EXACTA OR TRIFECTA PARTNER.

TOP CLOSER SECURE CONNECTION 7/2 HAS A BIG SHOT IF SHE CAN CATCH THE TOP HORSE. IT IS NOT AN IMPOSSIBLE TASK.

 

 

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