[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR THURSDAY – 8/13/2020

RACE 1 – HURDLES

RACE 2

MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT FOR 2 YEAR OLDS AT 5 1/2 FURLONGS

ONLY 2 OF THE 8 ENTRANTS HAVE RACED, SHOWING DECENT EARLY SPEED, THE ML FAVORITE MALIBU LUNA AND LONGSHOT BUSTIN SHUFFLE 20/1.

THE OTHER 6 FIRSTERS ARE BETWEEN 3/1 AND 12/1.

RACE 3

5 1/2 FURLONGS ON TURF OPTIONAL 62K

WIDE OPEN ACCORDING TO MORNING LINE WITH ALL 11 ENTRANTS (9 BETTING INTERESTS) CONSIDERED AS CONTENDERS.

FOUR HAVE SHARP EARLY SPEED. BIG TIME ZIP COMES FROM PALACE AVENGER AND BERTRANDA. SECOND TIER BUT STILL FAST, LIZA STAR AND JUMP FOR JOY.

HOWEVER, ALL OF THESE HORSES ARE MTO’S (MAIN TRACK ONLY).

IF RACE STAYS ON TURF, THIS RACE WILL RUN SLOW EARLY WITH OLENDON, KITTEN’S COWGIRL AND ORIGINATOR EVENLY MATCHED DUELING FOR THE LEAD.

TOP CLOSER IS ALSO OLENDON, FOLLOWED BY XANTHIQUE AND TURF WAR.

RACE 4 

BLOOD MOON IS QUICKEST EARY AND SHOULD HAVE THE LEAD. GRIT AND GLORY AND FIRST RATE WILL BE CHASING BUT FROM A FEW LENGTHS BEHIND.

CLOSERS HEIRLOOM KITTEN AND GRIT AND GLORY, MAKING THAT ONE A DOUBLE THREAT.

RACE 5

5 1/2 TURF RACE FOR MAIDEN CLAIMING.

BIG TIME EARLY SPEED ON DISPLAY FOR ROBIN SPARKLES. SHE SHOULD BE WELL CLEAR AND WILL NEED TO BE AS SHE IS SLOW LATE. DECENT SPEED FROM NEW YORK SUPREME AND SHE SO NAUGHTY IN CASE THE SPEED DEMON FALTERS.

LITTLE CLOSING SPEED ON DISPLAY. IN FACT, FRENCHIE FROM FROU IS THE ONLY ONE TO FEAR ON PAPER.

RACE 6

1 1/8 MILES FOR 62.5K FILLIES AND MARES

SMALL FIELD LEAD EARLY BY RISKY MANDATE. FOXTAIL SHOULD BE IN HOT PURSUIT.

TOP CLOSER IS OFF TOPIC. EVEN LONGSHOT INDY UNION COULD BE HEARD FROM LATE

RACE 7

5 1/2 TURF RACE FOR 2-YEAR OLD MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS.

TOP SPEED BELONGS TO THIN WHITE DUKE, THE ML FAVORITE AND ONLY CONTENDER WHO HAS RACED. LONGSHOT CHARGEMYDINNER 12/1 RACED OK.

7 FIRST TIMERS, 6 OF THEM CONSIDERED CONTENDERS BY THE ML.

RACE 8

1 1/16 MILES (TURF) STARTER ALW (NIX)

EARLY SPEED IS TURN OF EVENTS BY A WIDE MARGIN. QUIET OUT EAST SHOULD BE SECOND EARLY WITH LONGSHOT MITZRAYIM 15/1, BUT IT SHOULD BE CLOSE EARLY.

BRAY IS THE TOP CLOSER. BOTH BATTALION AND MANDATE ALSO DO THEIR BEST RUNNING LATE.

 RACE 9 – UNION AVENUE HANDICAP $85,000

 CARRERA CAT AND RATAJKOWSKI ARE FASTEST EARLY. NEWLY MINTED SHOULD BE STALKING THOSE TWO.

THE BIG CLOSER IS MRS. ORB.

RACE 10 

1 MILE TURF FOR MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS

CLEAR LEADER SHOULD BE VIVAZANO.TWO CENT TOOTSIE AND DATA ANALYTICS SHOULD BE GIVING CHASE, WITH EVEN LONGSHOT PORTOFINO 15/1 IN THE AMONG THOSE IN CONTENTION EARLY.

TOP CLOSER IS ALSO ELIGIBLE GAELIC GOLD. SAINTE MERE EGLISE ALSO RUNS WELL LATE.  

 

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