[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR THURSDAY – 7/23/2020

1ST RACE – HURDLES

2ND RACE 

THE KEY SPEED EARLY IS #2 TAKE IT TO SCALE (5/1). #4 INVEST (6/1) SHOULD OFFER THE TOP CHALLENGE TO THE EARLY LEADER. TOP CLOSER IS #5 CARTHON (3/1). WEDNESDAY, SARATOGA PROVED THE SAYING THAT “SPEED NEVER HAS A SLUMP”.  SPEED HORSES WON ALL BUT 2 RACES AND ALMOST ALWAYS WIN MORE THAN THEIR FAIR SHARE AT ALL DISTANCES AND SURFACES.

3RD RACE

SIX FIRST TIME STARTERS IN A 7 HORSE FIELD AND THE ONLY STARTER HAS SHOWN LITTLE SPEED SO FAR. PASS.

4TH RACE – NEW YORK STALLION SERIES STAKES $100,000

#6 NICKY SCISSORS (7/2) FIGURES TO GO STRAIGHT TO THE FRONT. LONGSHOT #7 HUNNYBUNNERDINI (10/1)  SHOULD BE PRESSING THE LEADER EARLY AND #2 DIXIE CANNON (9/2) MIGHT BE PROMINENT EARLY ALSO. ML FAVORITE #1 FRESCO (1/1) ISN’T A REAL FAST CLOSER BUT IS THE TOP LATE RUNNING FILLY IN HERE.

5TH RACE 

SOME PRETTY FAST EARLY RUNNERS IN THIS MAIDEN AFFAIR, #6 IRISH FRONT (9/2), #3 NEW FRONTIER AND #2 O’TROUBLE (7/2). MAIN BENEFICARY OF THE SPEED DUEL IS THE ML FAVORITE #4 AHEAD OF PLAN (5/2). THERE IS ALSO A FIRST TIMER THREAT IN #7 INSTINCTIVE RHYTHM (3/1). WATCH THE TOTE.

6TH RACE 

#2 WILD LOVE (5/2) IS THE BIG TIME EARLY SPEED IN HERE. #6 PURE WOW (15/1) IS A LONGSHOT WHO WILL BE PRESSING THE TOP HORSE EARLY. LIMITING OUR VISION TO JUST THE FAVORITES, #9 KITTEN BY THE SEA (6/1) COULD ALSO BE A THREAT EARLY. TOP CLOSERS ARE #1 BALON ROSE (8/5), #5 BAREEQA (3/1) AND #3 KELLEYCANRUN (5/1). THIS IS A PRETTY WIDE OPEN AFFAIR WITH MANY SERIOUS CHANCES IF THE SPEED FALTERS.

7TH RACE 

8 OF THE 13 ENTRANTS HAVE MAJOR LEAGUE EARLY SPEED AND THE CLOSERS ARE NOT A FACTOR. THE TOP 2 ARE #11 QUALITY STONES (8/1) AND #10 BERTRANDA (9/2). ML FAVORITE #1 BIG Q (7/2) SHOULD GET GOOD TRIP FROM THE RAIL. EVEN LONGSHOT #12 BUSTIN TO PLEASE (15/1) COULD BE CLOSE THROUGHOUT AND STILL BE RUNNING HARD AT THE FINISH.

8TH RACE 

ANOTHER RACE WITH HIGH OCTANE SPEEDERS AND NO CLOSERS. LOOKING AT THE FAVORITES, #9 ITS A WRAP (3/1), #8 ETHOS (9/2) AND ML FAVORITE #4 FRENCH REEF (2/1) SEEM THE BEST. LONGSHOT #2 CALL HOME (15/1) HAS RUN FASTER THAN ALL 3 IN THE PAST BUT GETS LITTLE RESPECT IN HERE. WOULDN’T BE SURPRIZED IF HE GRABS THE LEAD EARLY AND TAKES THEM AS FAR AS HE CAN.

9TH RACE 

MORE SPEED BURNERS SIGNED ON HERE. #6 CAPTAIN SCOTTY (9/2), #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH (4/1) AND #1 WENDELL FONG (7/2) SHOULD LEAD THE WAY. THERE IS A BIG TIME CLOSER IN HERE, #5 MIHOS (3/1).

10TH RACE 

THIS RACE HAS A POSSIBLE LONE SPEED IN #3 DEPUTY FLAG (9/2). HIS MOST SERIOUS EARLY THREATS ARE LONGSHOTS, #7, #1, AND #9. TOP CLOSER IS THE ML FAVORITE #11 FINANCIALSTABILITY (2/1) WHO IS A DECENT ENOUGH LATE RUNNER (2/1).

 

 

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