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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR SUNDAY – 8/16/2020
RACE 1
STONE TOWN HAS FLASHY EARLY SPEED YET IS 4/1 BEHIND THREE FIRST TIMERS. WHETHER YOU SUPPORT HER OR NOT COMES DOWN TO RISK-REWARD. IF YOU CAN GET $10 BACK TO WIN IT MAY BE WORTH IT.
LONGSHOT OUR FLASH DRIVE 12/1 IS THE ONLY OTHER HORSE WITH EXPERIENCE.
THE OTHER 4 ARE FIRST TIMERS, 3 OF THEM THE TOP 3 ML CHOICES.
RACE 2
COMPLEX SYSTEM ALSO OWNS BREAKAWAY EARLY SPEED. CHOCOLATE BAR WILL BE WEL BEHIND HIM BUT WILL BE THE CLOSEST CONTENDER EARLY. LONGSHOT BOLD GEM 10/1 HAS EARLY SPEED THAT COULD PUT HIM IN SECOND CHASING THE LEADER.
SEIZE THE HAY IS A BIG TIME CLOSER AS IS LONGSHOT SEA CITY 15/1.
ONLY 1 FIRST TIMER FORWARD CURVE BUT HE IS COUPLED WITH COMPLEX SYSTEM.
RACE 3
OUR LADY OF LORETO 4/1 IS THE THIRD STRAIGHT HORSE WITH THE KIND OF EARLY SPEED THAT COULD GO GATE TO WIRE. SHE WILL HAVE STRONG PUSUERS IN RUDE AWAKENING AND PICK UP THE FONE.
OFFICER HUTCHY IS A MODERATE CLOSER AS IS LONGSHOT GENTLE ANNIE 15/1.
RACE 4
THIS WILL BE A VERY SLOW PACE EARLY RACE WHICH USUALLY BENEFITS CLOSERS.
EARLY LEADERS SHOULD BE MAKE OR BREAK AND SKY KITTEN BY DEFAULT.
LIDO KEY, THE ML FAVORITE, IS THE ONLY REAL CLOSER AMONG THE FAVORITES. LONGSHOT STERLING BEAUTY 10/1 WILL BE COMING AND GETS THE KIND OF PACE THAT SHOULD FLATTER HIS RUNNING STYLE.
RACE 5
ANOTHER SLOW EARLY SPEED RACE.MIDNIGHT TEA TME AND TAOS SHOULD BE LEADING THE EARLY CRAWL.
HUGE CLOSERS WILL DOMINATE THIS RACE. PILLAR MOUNTAIN, HE’S NO LEMON AND NAKAMURA
RACE 6
EARLY SPEED RESIDES WITH STRIKING SPEED 4/1. ONLY EARLY CHALLENGERS WILL LIKELY BE BREITHORN, THE ML FAV. AND LONGSHOT TRI SAINT LORENZO 10/1.
THE SERIOUS CLOSER IS SEIZE THE DAY.
RACE 7
EVEN WITH THE SCRATCHES OF THREE EARLY SPEEDERS, THERE IS STILL A TON OF QUICK EARLY SPEED SIGNED ON. PICASSO, MO GOTCHA, OAK HILL AND MAXIMILIANO.
TOP CLOSER IS THE ML FAVORITE, LA HARA, WHO WOULD BENEFIT FROM A MELTDOWN UP FRONT. PROBLEM IS ONE OF THE EARLY SPEEDERS OFTEN BREAKS AWAY AND OPENS UP AT THE TOP OF THE STRETCH LEAVING THE GAP TOO MUCH TO MAKE UP. CLOSERS OFTEN CAN’T MAKE UP THE LOST GROUND AND HAVE TO SETTLE FOR SECOND OR THIRD<sup>.</sup>
RACE 8
ANOTHER RACE FILLED WITH EARLY SPEED DEMONS.
LETMETAKETHISCALL, FIERCE LADY, BERTRANDA AND BIG Q WILL ALL LIKELY BE IN A LINE FOR THE LEAD. GIVEN THE LACK OF A SOLID CLOSER, ONE OF THEM WILL LIKELY PREVAIL.
RACE 9 – SARATOGA OAKS INVITATIONAL STAKES $500,000
ANTOINETTE AND ENOLA GAY WILL BE THE LEADERS OF THE PACK. STUNNING SKY, SPEAKTOMEOFSUMMER AND LONGSHOT QUEENS EMBRACE 10/1.
RACE 10
FINAL RACE FEATURES BIG TIME SPEEDER. INK SPLOTZ. ML FAVORITE SOUTHERN BRIDGE SHOULD BE TRACKING IN SECOND. LONGSHOT COOLBOY 15/1 IS FAST ENOUGH TO BE THE MAIN PACE PRESSER BEHIND INKSPLOTZ AND SCOCCIATORE 12/1 COULD BE IN THE SECOND TIER WITH SOUTHERN BRIDGE.
THE RACE PRETTY MUCH BOILS DOWN TO THESE 4 UNLESS IT COMPLETELY FALLS APART.
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