[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR SATURDAY – 8/8/2020 – TRAVERS DAY

RACE 1

EARLY SPEED COMES FROM THE ENTRY OF HIGH TITLE AND GUNMAN. ONLY OTHER RUNNER WITHIN SHOUTING DISTANCE IS ANGRY MAN.

CLOSERS BAY STREET MONEY AND COMPLIANT ROUND OUT THE LOGICAL CONTENDERS

RACE 2

SPEED DUEL FEATURES LIL COMMISSIONER AND HAMMERIN AAMER, WITH MUSICAL HEART THE OTHER HALF OF THE ENTRY BEING RIGHT THERE. LONGSHOT AMERICAN LINCOLN HAS RUN FASTER EARLY OFF HIS BEST.

OUTSTANDING CLOSERS ARE SHALAKO AND HAMMERIRIN AAMER, GIVING THE LATTER THE CHOICE OF CHALLENGING EARLY OR LATE.

RACE 3

RISKY MISCHIEF AND STRANGERTHANUKNOW ARE THE EARLY KINGPINS. VIOLENT POINT AND LONGSHOT CARARSIE ANGEL 12/1 WILL BE ON THE CHASE, BUT BOTH OF THE TOP 2 WILL NEED TO FALTER WHICH SEEMS UNLIKELY.

BEST CLOSER IS THE ML FAVORITE LIGHT IN THE SKY

RACE 4

SIDING SPRING SHOULD CLEAR THESE EARLY. EXCLUDING THE MTO’S, FIELD OF COURAGE AND BOOTLEGGER SHOULD BE ON THE CHASE.

TOP FAVORED CLOSERS ARE GOLDEN SPEAR AND HIEROGLYPHICS, ALTHOUGH LONGSHOT STREET TRUST HAS RUN FASTER THAN THOSE OFF HIS BEST.

RACE 5

MSW RACE WITH 3 THAT HAVE STARTED AND 4 FIRSTERS. GUANA CAY HAS DECENT EARLY SPEED AND WILL HAVE COMPANY FROM LONGSHOT AMERICAN GENTLEMAN.

PLENTY OF UNKNOWNS INCLUDING THE TOP 2 ML FAVORITES AND 3 OF THE TOP 4 CONTENDERS.

RACE 6

5 HORSES WHO HAVE STARTED AND 7 FIRSTERS.

ONLY SPEED BELONGS TO MTO’S.

PIVOTAL MISSION HAS CLOSING SPEED OF THOSE THAT HAVE RUN.

RACE 7 – BALLERINA (G1) $300,000

BIG TIME EARLY SPEED LED BY SERENGETI EMPRESS AT A SHORTER FOR HER 7 FURLONG DISTANCE. BELLAFINA AND LETRUSKA SHOULD BE RIGHT ON HER TRAIL ALONG WITH LONGSHOT COOKIE DOUGH.

OUTSTANDING CLOSER IS LONGSHOT PINK SANDS.

RACE 8 – TROY (G3) $200,000

PURE SENSATION AND SHEKKY SHEBAZ SHOULD COME OUT FIRING BUT LONGSHOT AMERICAN SAILOR COULD BE THE LEADER EARLY IN THIS SHORT TURF SPRINT.

CHEWING GUM IS THE CLOSER TO FEAR

RACE 9 – WAYA (G3) $150,000

THIS 1 ½ MILE TURF RACE SHOULD BE A SLOW CRAWL EARLY WITH NO ONE WANTING THE LEAD. WILL PROBABLY FALL TO ANOTHER BROAD AND A COUPLE OF LONGSHOTS.

CLOSERS DU JOUR ARE MRS. SIPPY, OLYMPIC GAMES, AND MY SISTER NAT WHO ARE EVENLY MATCHED.

RACE 10 – TEST (G1) $300,000

VENTEIAN HARBOR AND GAMINE SHOULD PUT ON A SHOW EARLY.

MRS. DANVERS AND LONGSHOT UP IN SMOKE WILL BE CLOSING BUT IT SHOULD BE HARD TO CATCH EITHER OF THE TOP 2.

RACE 11 – TRAVERS (G1) $1,000,000

UNCLE CHUCK IS THE LEADER OF THE CONTENDERS, BUT LONGSHOT CARACARO SHOULD BE PRESSING HIM EARLY.

INTERESTING THAT UNCLE CHUCK IS ALSO THE TOP CLOSER BY FAR. MAX PLAYER, COUNTRY GRAMMER AND LONGSHOT SOUTH BEND ALL HAVE GOOD CLOSING KICKS.

OF COURSE, TIZ THE LAW IS THE 1/1 ML FAVORITE EVEN THOUGH HE DOESN’T HAVE THE NUMBERS EARLY OR LATE. HOWEVER, ALL HE DOES IS WIN.

RACE 12

MONIFICENT SHOULD BE IN FRONT BY A CITY BLOCK EARLY. ONLY QUESTION SHOULD BE HOW FAR HE WINS BY.

ONLY CLOSER OF NOTE IS SWEET SNEAK.

 

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