[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR SATURDAY – 8/29/2020

RACE 1

E/S – HAPPY SOPHIA 5/2 IS FASTEST EARLY AND IS THE FAVORITE, A VERY HIGH PERCENTAGE WIN ANGLE IN RECENY WEEKS. SUMMER FANTASY 6/1 SHOULD BE CHASING FROM SECOND EARLY AND ENOUGH LOVE 3/1 FROM THIRD.

C – NONE

RACE 2

E/S – DREAM FRIEND 5/1 SHOULD BE ISOLATED ON THE LEAD. KING CAUSE 8/1 AND BALLAGH ROCKS 3/1 WILL BE CHASING.

C – ASSUMNG THE MTO’S DON’T RUN, STRONG TOP CLOSER IS EN WYE CEE 3/1. SPIRIT ANIMAL 5/2 ALSO DOES HIS BEST RUNNING LATE.

RACE 3 – SARANAC (G3) $100,000

E/S – AGAIN, ASSUMING THIS RACE STAYS ON THE TURF, SPEED IS VANZZY 7/2, DON JUAN KITTEN 4/1 AND THREE TECHNIQUE 6/1.

C – BEST CLOSER BY FAR IS BODECREAM 9/2.

LS – BIG DREAMING 12/1 IS THE FASTEST EARLY OF HIS BEST. SECOND BEST CLOSER, IRISH MIAS 12/1 IS ALSO AMONG THE TOP LONGSHOTS.

RACE 4

E/S – BUSTIN TO PLEASE 7/5 AND TIED UP 9/5 STANDOUT EARLY ALONG WITH ENTRYMATE RADIANTRITHYM IN THE GARDEN SPOT TRACKING THE LEADERS.

C – STAY FOND 3/1 IS THE CLOSER TO FEAR.

LS – ANNIE ROCKS 15/1 IS THE SECOND BEST CLOSER AT A PRICE.

RACE 5

LETMETAKETHISCALL 2/1 HAS THE NEED FOR SPEED AND SHOULD HAVE AN EASY LEAD. CHASERS ARE ACHUMYBABY 5/2 AND MY ROSY GIRL 7/2.

C – LOVE AND LOVE 8/1 IS THE TOP CLOSER ALTHOUGH WILL NEED A PACE MELTDOWN TO SUCCEED.

LS – PUFFERY 15/1 HAS THE MOST SPEED OF THE EARLY CHASERS. VIRADIA 10/1 IS THE STRONGEST CLOSER OFF HER BEST.

RACE 6

E/S – THE ONLY HORSE TO HAVE STARTED REGULAR GUY 15/1 HAS DECENT BUT NOT EXCEPTIONAL EARLY SPEED.

C – NONE

X-FACTORS – 9 FIRST TIME STARTERS OF THE 10 ENTRANTS.

RACE 7 – AMSTERDAM (G2) $150,000

THE SPEED SIGNED ON HERE IS VERY FAST. LONG WEEKEND 9/5, YAUPON 8/5 AND PREMIER STAR 5/1.

C – BASIN 7/2 WILL HAVE THE CHORE OF CLOSING INTO THIS PACE BATTLE IF HE CAN CATCH THEM.

LS – WONDERWHERECRAIGIS 10/1 IS A VERY FAST SPRINTER WHO ADDS EVEN MORE FUEL TO THE FIRE.

RACE 8 – FOREGO (G1) $300,000

E/S – COMPLEXITY 4/1 AND WHITMORE 7/2 ARE THE FASTEST CONTENDERS EARLY.

C – FUNNY GUY 9/2 IS THE CLOSER SUPREME.

LS – LEXITONIAN 10/1 IS FASTEST OF ALL EARLY AND RUNS BEST WHEN IS A PRICE. WIN WIN WIN 12/1 IS THE SECOND BEST CLOSER AND IS VERY CLOSE TO FUNNY GUY TALENT-WISE.

RACE 9 – SWORD DANCER (G1) $500,000

E/S – CROSS BORDER 3/1 IS THE FASTEST EARLY AND WILL TRY TO LULL THE STRONG CLOSERS TO SLEEP.

C – TOP CLOSERS ARE SADLER’S JOY 5/2 AND CORELLI 6/1.

LS – MARZO 10/1 IS THE ONLY SPEED HORSE TO CHALLENGE CROSS BORDER. HIGHLAND SKY 12/1 AND PEDRO CARA 10/1 ALSO COME HOME STRONGLY IN THE DRIVE.

RACE 10

E/S – PEACHY QUEEN 8/1 AND SPUN D’ETAT 5/1 ARE THE LIKELY LEADERS UNLESS A FIRSTER CAN OUTRUN THEM.

C – O’GOTTEN GIRL 4/1 IS ACTUALLY FASTER EARLY BUT IS STRONGEST OF THE KNOWN FACTORS IN THE STRETCH.

X-FACTORS – 4 FIRST TIME STARTERS INCLUDING 3 OF THE TOP 4 MORNING LINE FAVORITES.

RACE 11

E/S – EXCELLENT SPEED ON DISPLAY BY FLASHPACKINBARBIE 7/2 AND MIDNIGHT SURPRISE 7/2. ELOQUENT SPEAKER 3/1 CAN SIT THE TRIP FROM THIRD AND PERHAPS CATCH THE TOP 2 IN THE DRIVE IF THEY GO TOO FAST EARLY

C – FIRENZE FREEDOM 8/1 MAY BE BREATHING FIRE IN THE STRETCH DRIVE.

LS – PAVED WITH GOLD 12/1 AND STRETCHTHESTORY 12/1 ALSO DO THEIR BEST RUNNING LATE.

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