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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR SATURDAY – 8/22/2020

RACE 1

ONLY 2 HORSES HAVE RUN IN THE AFTERNOON, MY SEA COTTAGE 6/1 AND LONGSHOT EXPLAIN 10/1. BOTH HAVE SHOWN DECENT EARLY SPEED.

THE OTHER 6 ARE FIRST TIMERS AND COULD BE ANY KIND.

RACE 2

THE BIG TWO EARLY ARE MACHO JACK 7/2 AND AIRTOUCH 2/5. LONGSHOT OH MY PAPA 10/1 HAS THE BEST EARLY SPEED OFF HER BEST EFFORT.

CLOSER IS BEACH FRONT 6/1.

RACE 3

BIG TIME EARLY SPEED COMING FROM FRENCH REEF 4/5. BOTH FAST GETAWAY 5/2 AND AMERICAN MANDATE 8/1 HAVE ENOUGH SPEED TO CHASE FROM THE SECOND TIER.

CLOSERS ARE TIKHVIN FLEW 6/1 AND BLIND WILLIE MCTELL 8/5

RACE 4

MAJID 8/1 IS BY FAR THE QUICKEST EARLY. HE WILL BE CHASED BY HAMMERIN AAMER 6/1 AND SUPER DUDE 9/5. LONGSHOT CHIEF KNOW IT ALL 15/1 CAN BE PRESSING THE PACE EARLY OFF HIS BEST.

CLOSERS ARE HEAVY ROLLER 2/1 AND THE BIG FUNDAMENTAL 5/2.

THINK WE HAVE MADE A CASE FOR EVERY RUNNER.

RACE 5

MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT HAS 6 THAT HAVE STARTED AND 7 THAT HAVE NOT.

OF THOSE WHO’VE RUN WINFROMWITHIN 4/1 AND MO MISCHIEF 2/1 HAVE BY FAR THE BEST EARLY SPEED. EVEN NAUTILUS 9/2 CAN RUN SOME.

ONLY LONGSHOT LEASE 10/1 HAS DEMONSTRATED ANY CLOSING ABILITY.

4 OF THE FIRST TIMERS ARE CONSIDERED CONTENDERS BY THE MORNING LINE

RACE 6

6F FURLONG MAIDEN CLAIMER HAS 2 HORSES WITH BREAKAWAY SPEED, LOVE ME TOMORROW 9/5 AND CENTRAL EXIT 3/1.

TWO FIRST TIMERS OAK CREEK CANYON 4/1 AND SHENANDOAH RIVER 5/1 WILL NEED TO COME OUT RUNNING.

RACE 7

EARLY LEADER IN THIS TURF MILE LIKELY TO BE KINGMEISTER 3/1. THERE ARE SEVERAL THAT WILL BE STALKING, TURN OF EVENTS 4/1, PLOT THE DOTS 8/1 AND CHASE TRACKER 7/2. LONGSHOT ALLEY OOP JOHNNY 10/1 COULD UPSET THEM ALL ON HIS BEST DAY.

BIG CLOSER IS ENTRYMATE DOUBLY BLESSED 4/1 AND THE ML FAVORITE LONSEOME FUGITIVE 8/5

RACE 8

LOTS OF SPEED SIGNED ON FOR THIS 1 1/8 CONTEST. BLEWITT 7/5, ITS ALL RELEVANT 4/1 AND SEA FOAM 5/1 WILL ALL BE WINGING EARLY.

BIG CLOSER IS GROWTH ENGINE 5/2. THE OTHER HALF OF THE ENTRY LEGIT 7/5 ALSO DOES HIS BEST RUNNING LATE. LONGSHOT NOBLE THOUGHT 15/1 IS AS GOOD A CLOSER AS “ENGINE” OFF HIS BEST.

RACE 9 – 4STARDAVE HANDICAP (G1) $400,000

ALWYS A FUN AND COMPETITIVE RACE THAT LEANS IN PAST YEARS TOWARDS LONGSHOTS.

TOP EARLY SPEED IS GOT STORMY 8/1 AND HALLADAY 4/1.

BIG TIME CLOSERS ARE ML FAVORITES RAGING BULL 5/2, UNI 3/1 AND WITHOUT PAROLE 4/1.

RACE 10

ONE SPEED HORSE STANDS OUT EARLY IN THE FINALE AND THAT IS LETTERMAN 9/2. ONLY OTHER SERIOUS SPEED IS FOUND IN LONGSHOTS SCOTTY BROWN 15/1 AND KILRONAN 15/1.

THREE CONTENDERS ARE QUALITY CLOSERS, BATTALION 3/1, RAKEEZ 8/5 AND CATORAT 6/1.

  

 

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