[consensus Choice]

SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY – 8/28/2020

RACE 1 – NY STALLION SERIES (TIMES SQUARE DIVISION) $100,000

E/S – FASTEST CONTENDER IS DREAM BIGGER 7/5 CHASED CLOSELY BY CHOWDA 6/1.

C – TOP CLOSER IS CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC 3/5.

LS – SLASH GORDON 10/1 IS THE FASTEST HORSE EARLY OFF HIS BEST RACE.  

 RACE 2

 E/S – PRiNCESS FAWZIA 2/1 HAS THE BEST EARLY SPEED BUT COMING STORM 5/2 AND KEMBA CAN BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO PRESSURE THE FAVORITE.

C – TOP CLOSERS ARE HURRICANE BREEZE 7/2 AND TIMELESS JOURNEY 8/1.

LS – BIG AL’S GAL 15/1 CAN RUN WITH THE CHASERS EARLY WHICH COULD PUT HIM IN THE MIX AT A PRIC

RACE 3

E/S – BIG TIME SPEED FROM REJECTED AGAIN 6/1. PRINCIPAL DANCER 7/2 AND CONTUNUUM 9/2 WILL BE IN HOT PURSUIT.

C – SWORDSMAN 5/2 ISN’T QUICK BUT HE IS THE TOP CLOSER.

LS – BANK ON THIS 10/1 HAS THE SECOND-BEST EARLY SPEED AND OFF HIS BEST COULD BE THE CLOSEST PURSUER.

RACE 4  

E/S – STAGE LEFT 9/5 IS THE TOP SPEED. MAJESTIC WEST 9/2 AND QUEEN’S MASON 8/1 WON’T BE FAR AWAY. EVEN MISTER BOBBY 4/1 CAN BE IN THE FIGHT EARLY.

C – MAJESTIC WEST 9/2 AND SOUTHERN BRIDGE 6/1 TIE FOR TOP CLOSER

RACE 5

E/S – PARTY AT PAGE’S 2/1 HAS SERIOUS EARLY SPEED. THE FIRSTERS BETTER HAVE THEIR RUNNING SHOES ON. HEARALD THE ANGEL 9/5 IS AN ALSO ELIGIBLE BUT WILL BE THE NEAREST TO THE FAVORITE IF SHE RUNS. RUBY STILLETO 8/1 HAS SHOWN ENOUGH SPEED TO BE RESPECTED.

X FACTORS – 11 FIRST TIME STARTERS COULD BE ANY KIND, BUT FACE SOME TOUGH EXPERIENCED ENTRANTS.

RACE 6

E/S – BLACK MAGIC WOMAN 5/2 IS THE HORSE TO CATCH WITH HER BREAKAWAY SPEED AND SHOULD HAVE A CLEAR EARLY LEAD. BACK CHANNEL 3/1 IS ALSO QUICK EARLY AND COULD BE A LOT CLOSER TO THE LEAD DEPENDING ON HOW THE BREAK GOES.

C – DOVINA 2/1 IS THE TOP CLOSER

X – FACTOR – LADY ROCKET 6/1 IS THE ONLY FIRST TIME STARTER AND GETS SPEED JOCKEY IN LUIS SAEZ.

LS – RAPIDO GATTA 15/1 HAS THE SAME ABILITY AS BACK CHANNEL WHICH PUTS HIM IN THE TOP 3 EARLY OFF HER BEST EFFORT 

 RACE 7

E/S – 4 TOP SPEEDERS IN THIS SHORT TURF SPRINT WHICH FAVORS SPEED. ROCKET HEAT 7/2 IS THE TOP HORSE WITH NEW YORK’S FINEST 8/1 THE MAIN EARLY THREAT. ASSUMING RACE STAYS ON TURF, SAYYAAF 3/1 SHOULD BE SITTING IN THE GARDEN SPOT IN THIRD.

C – GHOUL 6/1 COULD PUT A SCARE INTO THE SPEED AS THE TOP CLOSER. HONEY WON’T 8/1 ALSO DOES HIS BEST RUNNING FROM BEHIND.

LS – FAST GETAWAY 15/1 IS BETTER THAN HIS ODDS AND CAN RUN EARLY WITH THE TOP 2. MATTA 10/1 WILL BE PROMINENT EARLY AS WELL

RACE 8

E/S – IN FRONT SHOULD LIVE UP TO HIS NAME WITH A BIG EARLY LEAD. BLINDWILLIE MCTELL 2/1 AND WILD MEDAGLIAD’ORO 3/1 WILL BE WELL BEHIND THE TOP HORSE BUT FORWARDLY PLACED.

C – FAMISHED 8/1 IS THE CLEAR CLOSER

LS – NIGHT TIME 15/1 COULD BE SITTING SECOND BEHIND IRISH FRONT EARLY

 RACE 9 – LAKE GEORGE (G3) $100,000

 E/S – SWEET MELANIA 8/5 IS THE TOP SPEED OVER CAT’S PAJAMAS 5/1.

C – MICHELINE 9/2 IS CLEARLY THE BEST CLOSER.

LS – SUGAR FIX 15/1 HAS THE SAME KIND OF EARLY SPEED AS CHASER CAT’S PAJAMAS 5/1 AT THREE TIMES THE PRICE. WINDRACER 12/1 IS THE FASTEST CLOSER IN THE RACE OFF HER BEST.

RACE 10

E/S – BEYOND BROWN 7/2 IS THE TOP SPEED. IF THE RACE STAYS ON THE TURF, SPIN YOUR PARTNER 9/2 SHOULD BE CLOSEST TO THE LEADER EARLY.

C – TOP CONTENDING CLOSER IS THE FAVORITE CAINUDOTHETWIST 8/5.

LS – TONILEE 15/1 IS THE RACE’S BEST CLOSER IF SHE RUNS HER BEST RACE.

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