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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY – 8/21/2020
RACE 1
STRIKING CAUSEWAY 9/2 HAS A LARGE EARLY SPEED ADVANTAGE. HIS NEAREST PURSUER SHOULD BE OUR DESTINY 8/1. EARLY SPEED IS A REAL ADVANTAGE IN THESE SHORT TURF SPRINTS.
TOP CLOSER IS ML FAV. ADVANCED STRATEGY 9/5.
FIRST TIMER TO FEAR IS THE GOLDEN DOOR 8/1.
RACE 2
TENDERFOOT 8/1 SHOULD ESTABLISH A CLEAR ADVANTAGE ON THE BACK STRETCH. CHASERS ARE LUCKY ASSET 7/2 AND THE ANGRY MAN 9/5.
TOP CLOSER IS ASHIHAM 8/5.
RACE 3 – SKIDMORE STAKES $85,000
ANOTHER SHORT TURF SPRINT WHICH ALMOST ALWAYS FAVORS STRONG FRONT RUNNERS.
GOLDEN PAL 3/5 AND FAUCI 8/5 SHOULD FILL THAT BILL ALTHOUGH ON PAPER “PAL” HAS A SIGNIFIGANT EDGE. THE ABSENCE OF CLOSERS MEANS EVEN SKY’S NOT FALLING 5/1, WHO HAS OK EARLY SPEED, HAS TO BE GIVEN AN IN THE MONEY SHOT.
RACE 4
SEVEN SEVEN 5/1 IS THE ONLY ENTRANT THAT HAS RUN AND HE SHOWED MODERATE EARLY SPEED.
THE OTHER 7 ARE FIRSTERS.
RACE 5
ANOTHER SHORT TURF SPRINT. TOP SPEED IS MY MAN FLINTSTONE 5/1. CONSIDERING HIS MAIN CHALLENGER, OH MY PAPA, IS AN (MTO), COULD GIVE THE TOP HORSE A BIG ADVANTAGE IF HE DOESN’T RUN. PROPENSITY 4/1 AND LONGSHOT DUBAI BOBBY 10/1 WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE LEADER EARLY.
TOP CLOSER IS TIKHVIN FLEW (MTO) AND STANDUP 9/5.
RACE 6
NEW DAY DAWNING 5/2 HAS THE EDGE EARLY BUT HIS SPEED EDGE IS SMALL. THERE ARE 5 HORSES INCLUDING AN MTO THAT COULD BE CLOSE EARLY AND THEY ARE ALL 8/1 OR LESS IN THE ML.
TOP CLOSER IS DUOPOLY 9/2. EYE OF THE SOLDIER 7/2 AND LASHARA 6/1 ALL CAN BE COMING LATE AND CLOSERS SEEM TO HAVE THEIR BEST CHANCE WHEN ONLY A MODERATE IS ON DISPLAY. WOULD BE REMISS NOT TO MENTION LONGSHOT CLOSER TARANTA 15/1, WHO ON HER BEST DAY MAY BE THE FASTEST HORSE LATE IN THE FIELD.
RACE 7
IN A RACE THAT SEEMS OBVIOUS, ML FAVORITE JUMP FOR JOY 9/5 SHOULD MAKE THE LEAD FROM THE INSIDE WITH ONLY I’LL TAKE THE CAKE 3/1 CLOSE EARLY.
CLOSERS ARE EVENLY MATCHED, FLAT AWESOME JENNY 5/2, SOLITARY GEM 6/1 AND CATHY NAZ 8/1.
THE ADDED DISTANCE OF 6 ½ ON DIRT WOULD SEEM TO GIVE AN EDGE TO THE LATE RUNNERS.
RACE 8
ANOTHER 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON TURF SETS UP FOR EARLY SPEED. TOP SPEED BY A LOT IS CRACK SHOT 3/1, ESPECIALLY IF INSIDE INFO (MTO) DOESN’T RUN. NOBLE EMOTION 5/1 WILL LIKELY BE THE CLOSEST CHASER EARLY.
IN A FIELD LARGELY DEVOID OF CLOSERS, LONGSHOT BEACHSIDE 10/1 STANDS OUT IF HE CAN PRODUCE HIS BEST EFFORT.
RACE 9
KEEP WAITING 5/2 AND KAZ’S PRINCESS 8/1 SHOULD BE EYEBALL TO EYEBALL EARLY. VOICE OF SPRING IS FAST ENOUGH EARLY BUT IS AN (MTO)
STRONG CLOSER IS MORNING LINE FAVORITE GAELIC GOLD 8/5.
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