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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY – 8/14/2020

RACE 1

6 1/2 FURLONGS MAIDEN CLAIMING

TOP SPEED IS SPANISH PEAKS AND SHOULD BE THE EARLY LEADER. AIN’T NONE LUCKY SHOULD BE NO WORSE THAN SECOND. THESE TWO REPRESENT ALL THE EARLY SPEED IN THE RACE.

THERE ARE 2 STRONG CLOSERS, WISHES AND DREAMS AND FLASHING RED.

RACE 2

5 1/2 TURF ALLOWANCE.

PALOMITA (MTO) SHOULD MAKE THE LEAD IF SHE RUNS. IF SHE DOESN’T THEN GRAB THE BRASS RING EARLY. CARRIZO AND NOTORIOUS RBG SHOULD BE CHASING THE LEADER.

TOP CLOSER AMONG CONTENDERS IS TIPLE. LONGSHOT WICKED AMBER 15/1 HAS RUN FASTER ON HER BEST.

RACE 3

7 FURLONGS 14K CLAIMERS

3 HORSES FIGURE TO BATTE FOR THE EARLY LEAD, HETTY G., DESBORDES AND MOVIE SCORE. THEY ARE VERY CLOSE ON PAPER.

NOT MUCH IN THE CLOSER RANKS. TOP HORSE IS MAKIN’ OUT WHO ALSO COULD BE SITTING AS CLOSE AS FOURTH EARLY, SO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR HER TO HIT THE BOARD.

RACE 4 – PERFECT STING STAKES $100,000

1 1/16 MILES (TURF)

NOT A LOT OF EARLY SPEED SIGNED ON. CHALEUR IS QUICKEST BY A WIDE MARGIN ESPECIALLY IF ANOTHER BROAD (MTO) DOESN’T RUN.

CLOSERS SEEM TO FARE BETTER IN SLOW PACE RACES AS THEY DON’T FALL SO FAR BACK EARLY. TOP CLOSERS ARE ALTEA AND FEEL GLORIOUS. ANOTHER BROAD (MTO) AND CAFÉ AMERICANO SHOULD ALSO BE COMING LATE IN A WILD SCRAMBLE.

RACE 5

5 1/2 TURF MAIDEN CLAIMING

NEW FRONTIER HAS BIG TIME EARLY SPEED AND IT’S A WRAP WILL BE IN CLOSE PURSUIT. AHEAD OF PLAN WHO ISN’T AS QUICK EARLY AS THE TOP 2, HAS EXCELLENT TURF JOCK JAVIER CASTELLANO WHICH IS A BIG PLUS. DON’T UNDERESTIMATE HIM.

SIR CHUBBY AND LONGSHOT BETTS 12/1 ARE STRONGEST FROM BEHIND.

RACE 6

6 1/2 FURLONGS 20K CLAIMERS

LOTS OF SPEED SIGNED ON LED BY EYE LUV LULU AND SHAMROCKED. STALKERS TOPPER T AND CLENCH WILL BE RUNNING IN THE SECOND TIER.

CONTENDNG CLOSERS ARE COLTANDMISSISSIPPI AND LIFE IN SHAMBLES. LONGSHOT CLOSER FAMIY BIZ 12/1 IS THE TOP CLOSER OFF HIS BEST.

RACE 7

5 1/2 FURLONGS (TURF) 35K CLAIMERS

ONTHEWAYTONEVRLAND AND TENURE ARE FASTEST EARLY AND FIG JELLY AND NO BANG NO BOOM WILL BE CHASING FROM THE SECOND TIER. EVEN LONGSHOT WONDER IN 15/1 COULD BE INVOLVED EARLY.

THERE ARE ONLY 2 CLOSERS WORTH MENTIONING VARIANT PERCEPTION AND BOURBON CURRENCY.

SPEED USUALLY DOMINATES AT THIS DISTANCE BUT CLOSERS DO BEST WHEN THE RACE IS EARLY SPEED HEAVY.

RACE 8

6 FURLONGS OPTIONAL 40K

ONCE AGAIN BIG TIME SPEED ON DISPLAY. LEAKY CUP AND TALE OF THE UNION FIGURE TO BATTLE EARLY, WITH THORNY TALE AND RUNAWAY LUTE CHASING THEM.

ONLY TRUE CLOSER IS KAZMANIA

RACE 9

1 3/16 MILES (TURF) OPTIONAL 62.5K

BLEWITT AND SEA FOAM SHOULD BE ON TOP EARLY IF THEY RUN, HOWEVER THEY ARE BOTH (MTO’S). IF THEY DON’T RUN THE EARLY PACE WILL BE MUCH SLOWER LED BY CONVICTION TRADE AND VOTING CONTROL. LONGSHOT EARLY TOMB 15/1 COULD BE THE EARLY LEADER, IF THE MTO’S STAY IN THE BARN.

COME FROM BEHINDERS ARE CLOSELY MATCHED, VALUE ENGINEERING, ARGONNE, VOTING CONTROL AND NOBLE THOUGHT (MTO) MUST GET IN THE RACE. EVEN LONGSHOT BUNDIBUNAN 10/1 COULD BE IN THE MIX LATE.

ANOTHER WIDE-OPEN SCRAMBLE.

RACE 10

1 MILE (TURF) MAIDEN CLAIMING

COURTED IS FASTEST EARLY WITH LUCKY LATKES SITTING IN THE CATBIRD SEAT. THREE LONGSHOTS SPEEDERS, HEY IT’S TATI (AE) 10/1, ROSEY’S INVASION 15/1 AND MOPOLKA 15/1 COULD HAVE AN IMPACT EARLY.

CONTENDING CLOSER UNICORN SALLY IS THE BEST OF THE FAVORITES BUT 2 LONGSHOT CLOSERS AFLEETING GLANCE 12/1 AND TONILEE 15/1 ARE STRONGER LATE OFF THEIR BEST.

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