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SARATOGA ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY – 7/17/2020

1ST RACE

THIS RACE HAS VIRTUALLY NO EARLY SPEED. THE TOP CLOSERS ARE #1 PRIORITIZE (4/5), #5 BUNDIBUNAN (7/2)  AND #3 GO POKE THE BEAR (8/1).

2ND RACE

THE TOP EARLY SPEED COMES FROM #1 DAWN’S EARLY LIGHT (2/1), #7 FRIDAYBEERS (6/1), AND #3 APEX PREDATOR (10/1). NONE OF THE MORNING LINE CONTENDERS SHOW A STRONG LATE KICK. THE ONLY ONE THAT FILLS THAT ROLE IS LONGSHOT #2 BIELEFELD (15/1).  ALL OF THESE PLAYERS HAVE VERY SIMILAR FIGURES.

3RD RACE 

EARLY SPEED AMONG THE CONTENDERS IS SPLIT BETWEEN #4 THE ROCKS SAYS (3/5) AND #6 BLOOD MOON(6/1).  #7 FRIED RICE KING (10/1) COULD BE DRAFTING RIGHT BEHIND THOSE TWO EARLY. THE REASON THE FAVORITE IS 3/5 IS THAT HE IS ALSO THE STRONGEST CLOSER, A UNIQUE DOUBLE WHAMMIE WHICH DOESN’T HAPPEN THAT OFTEN AND IS A DEADLY OCCURRENCE WHEN IT DOES.

4TH RACE 

THE CLEAR EARLY LEADER SHOULD BE #5 STUNNING MUNNINGS (6/1). THE ONLY OTHER SERIOUS SPEED HORSE IS LONGSHOT #6 TOUCH OF NIRVANA (15/1). ALL THE CLOSERS ARE SLOW BUT THE BEST OF THE BUNCH IS THE ML FAVORITE #2 LEAVENWITHASMILE (8/5).

5TH RACE

TWO HORSES DOMINATE THE EARLY PACE, #1 SOUTH AFRICA (6/1) AND #8 JUSTINTIMEFORWINE (12/1). THE TOP CLOSER BY FAR IS #10 SANDRO THE GREAT. BOTH THE #5 AND THE #2 ALSO DO THERE BEST RUNNING LATE. #4 OPEN LENGTHS (10/1) IS THE ONLY FIRST TIME STARTER, TWO OF WHICH WON ON OPENING DAY, ONE A 10/1 ML WHO PAID $71.00. DON’T IGNORE.

6TH RACE

THE TOP TWO DOMINATE THE PACE #8 BIG THICKET (8/5) AND #3 MISSION WRAPITUP (5/2). THE BEST LATE RUNNERS ARE #7 VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD (7/2) AND #6 TEN TWENTY NINE (15/1).

7TH RACE – DE LA ROSE STAKES $85,000

THE TOP TWO ML HORSES ALSO DOMINATE THIS RACE EARLY #5 BRIDLEWOOD CAT (1/1) AND #9 BLOWOUT (3/1). EVEN #8 XENOBIA COULD BE A PACE FACTOR BUT SHE IS NOT NEARLY AS FAST AS THE TOP 2. #3 PASSING OUT (7/2) IS THE TOP THREAT LATE FOLLOWED BY #4 CLARA PETERS (5/1) .

8TH RACE 

FOR A 6 HORSE FIELD THIS RACE IS FILLED WITH FAST HORSES. EARLY FACTORS SHOULD BE #3 LADY LAWYER, #5 LADY WORTHINGTON (8/1) AND #1 GUACAMOLE (10/1). #2 OLENDON (5/2) IS THE BEST LATE THREAT.

9TH RACE – SHINE AGAIN STAKES $85,000

THE TOP ML FAVORITES #5 INDIAN PRIDE (6/5) AND #9 BLAMED (7/2) ARE THE DOMINATING EARLY SPEED. #10 PLEASE FLATTER ME (8/1) HAS ENOUGH EARLY LICK TO BE RESPECTED. ALL OF THE CONTENDERS ARE SLOW CLOSERS. THE ONLY ONE WORTH A LOOK IS LONGSHOT JOY EPIFORA (12/1).

10TH RACE 

THREE HORSES STAND OUT IN THE EARLY PACE STRUGGLE, #14 COLD HARD CASH (5/2), #11 TRUE GRACE (8/1) AND #15 QUICK RETURN (8/1). NONE OF THE CLOSERS ARE STRONG BUT #5 DIANNESIMPAZIBLE (6/1) AND #6 OPERATIVE (8/1) SHOULD BE THE BEST LATE THREATS.

 

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