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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18, 2021
OAKLAWN PARK STAKES
ANALYSIS IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE
OAKLAWN PARK
RACE 9 – TINSEL STAKES – 1 1/8 MILES – $200,000
#2 LONE ROCK 8/5 – IS A ROCK STAR. WINNER OF 8 OF HIS LAST 10. HE USUALLY RACES AT 1 1/2 MILES OR FARTHER. HIS LAST RACE WAS A WIN AT 1 5/8 MILES IN A G2 AT DEL MAR. HE ALSO SHOWS A WIN IN THE G2 BROOKLYN AT BELMONT BY 11. HOWEVER, HE HAS WON AT 1 MILE AND 1 1/16 MILES IN 3 OF HIS LAST 10. HE IS IN A FIELD TODAY OF HORSES WHO DON’T LIKE TO WIN. THAT SHOULD MAKE HIM DOUBLE TOUGH IN HERE. THE LAST THREE TIMES HE RACED AT OAKLAWN THIS PAST FEBRUARY-APRIL, HE WON TWICE, AND MISSED BY A NECK IN THE $150k TEMPERENCE HILL. HE LIKES TO RACE NEAR THE FRONT AND IMPROVE FROM THERE.
#4 TITLE READY 9/2 – WON THE G3 LOUISIANA AT FAIR GROUNDS LAST JANUARY AND WAS THIRD ONLY BEATEN 1 LENGTH IN THE G2 FAYETTE AT KEENELAND IN OCTOBER 2020. HE HAS BEEN SEVERLY OVERMATCHED IN THE G1 CLARK, THE $6M G1 BREEDERS’ CUP CLASSIC AND THE $12M DUBAI WORLD CUP, BADLY BEATEN IN EACH OF THESE RACES. HE IS IN WHERE HE BELONGS TODAY. HE JUST MISSED IN A COMEBACK RACE IN NOVEMBER AND MIGHT BE READY FOR HIS BEST. HE LIKES TO COME FROM BEHIND BUT IS USUALLY NOT THAT FAR AWAY EARLY.
#3 BEAU LUMINAIRE 6/1 – HAS HIT THE BOARD IN 10 STRAIGHT RACES ALBEIT VS. LESSER. IN HIS ONLY COMPARABLE STAKES RACE, HE FINISHED THIRD BEATEN LESS THAN A LENGTH AT KEENELAND IN APRIL IN THE G3 BEN ALI AT TODAY’S DISTANCE.
#7 WARRIORS CHARGE 5/2 – IS PLACED SO LOW BECAUSE HE SHOWS NO WINS IN HIS LAST 10. HE WAS SECOND IN JUNE’S G2 STEPHEN FOSTER. THIS BRAD COX RUNNER HAS BEEN IN STAKES IN 8 OF HIS LAST 10 BUT NO CIGARS.
#5 TENFOLD 6/1 – IS ALSO A NON-WINNER IN HIS LAST 10 STARTS. WHILE THIS IS NOT A GRADED STAKES, HE HAS NOT HIT THE BOARD IN THOSE GRADED STAKES, WHILE EVERY OTHER HORSE MENTIONED ABOVE HAVE EITHER WON A GRADED STAKES OR HAVE BEEN IN THE MONEY VS. GRADED COMPANY.
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