MAKING E-PONIES WORK 4 U !

[LongshotWhisperer]

Now there are other websites that give you a bunch of numbers to look at and for the same subscription rate as E-Ponies.  Perhaps this has created inactivity on this site.  So when I play the horses I look for a race that has great potential for a longshot or at least a great overlay.  When using E-Ponies I add up the M/L (morning line) of the top 4 horses in each race.  The race that gives me the biggest total is my race of choice.  I then use my formula (previous post) in order to place a bet on the top 4 horses accordingly. Today at Delaware it was race #5 with a total of (4+5+10+8) 27.  Here are the results.

5

PP 5

Sal’s Blue JacketCarol CedenoMichael Stidham

$19.20

$9.00

$6.00

8

PP 8

HeckledMychel J. SanchezMichael Stidham

–

$3.80

$3.00

13

PP 13

Blonde SamaritanAlexander CrispinJose A. Ramirez

–

–

$31.80

POOL TYPE

RUNNERS

PAYOUT

$1 EXACTA

5/<wbr />8

$36.30

$0.50 TRIFECTA

5/<wbr />8/<wbr />13

$1,725.55

$0.10 SUPERFECTA

5/<wbr />8/<wbr />13/<wbr />4

$1,848.36

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[LongshotWhisperer]

HORSE RACE MONEY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS CORRECTED

HORSE RACING MONEY MANAGEMENT

Let’s say you have four horses you want to play in a race and you would like to make $100 (or any amount) should one of your four horses win. This can be used for any number of horses in a race as long as STEP 3 condition is met (the total for all horses cannot be equal or over 1.00).

STEP 1 take all of the horses odds and subtract 1.00 from each one

HORSE ODDS NEW ODDS VALUE

A 10/1 becomes 9/1

B 5/1 becomes 4/1

C 10/1 becomes 9/1

D 20/1 becomes 19/1

STEP 2 Divide NEW ODDS VALUE into 1.00

A 1/9 = .11

B 1/4 = .25

C 1/9 = .11

D 1/19 = .05

STEP 3 total (add) the results from STEP 2

.11+.25+.11+.05 = .52

IMPORTANT Result from STEP 3 must be less than 1.00

STEP 4 subtract value from STEP 3 from 1.00

1.00-.52 = .48

STEP 5 Determine amount of money you want to win (I.E. $100)

STEP 6 Take result from STEP 4 and divide into value from STEP 5 (Amount you want to win I.E. $100)

$100/.48 = $208 This is the amount you will need to win in order to make $100 profit. Your wagers will total $108 dollars as shown in STEP 7

STEP 7 Take result from STEP 6 ($208) and multiply it by the value of STEP 2 … this will tell you how much to wager on each of the horses ( ABCD)

HORSE A $208 X .11 = $23.00

HORSE B $208 X .25 = $52.00

HORSE C $208 X .11 = $23.00

HORSE D $208 X .05 = $10.00

TOTALS $23+ $52 + $23 + $10 = $108

STEP 8 IF HORSE A WINS $23 X ODDS = $207 ($23 X 9 = 207)

STEP 9 subtract total wagers of $108 from winnings $207 and you get a return/profit of $99. You can do the same for the other HORSES B, C, D and you will see that the return will be in the neighborhood of $100 (if the winning horse goes off at more than the specified odds you will be pleasantly surprised!)

HORSE RACING MONEY MANAGEMENT 2

The following formula will tell you how much of your Bankroll to invest each time based upon the PERCENT WIN (W%) and the AVERAGE PAYOFF (AP). What is nice about this is that the amount will fluctuate depending on your success (win percentage) and the payoff values.

WA = wager amount

((W%) X (AP)) – ((WA) X 100) / ((100 X (AP)) – (WA))

%W = WINS / TOTAL HORSES BET

This will determine the percentage amount of money from your BANKROLL to wager on each of your choices. REMEMBER this value will fluctuate as your WIN PERCENTAGE and AVERAGE PAYOFF may change as a result of each bet/wager made.

EXAMPLE Let’s say you win 40 times out of 100 tries. 40/100 = .40 or 40%

And your AVERAGE PAYOFF (AP) IS $10.00

Your WAGER AMOUNT (WA) is $2.00

So your calculation would look like this

(40 (%W) X $10.00 (AP)) – ($2.00 (WA) X 100) / (100 X ($10.00 (AP) – $2.00(WA)))

So we would end up with $400-$200 / $800 = .25 or 25 % (percent) of your BANKROLL can be wagered on your next selection!

[LongshotWhisperer]

Woodbine race #6 (6+3+8+12) 29

8

PP 8

Bodacious MissSofia VivesSteven Owens

$19.90

$9.80

$5.50

4

PP 4

Sparkle SammyPatrick HusbandsSteven Chircop

–

$5.00

$3.30

5

PP 5

Jilli MarieChristopher HusbandsKaterina Vassilieva

–

–

$5.40

POOL TYPE

RUNNERS

PAYOUT

$1 EXACTA

8/<wbr />4

$52.90

$0.20 TRIFECTA

8/<wbr />4/<wbr />5

$44.33

$0.20 SUPERFECTA

8/<wbr />4/<wbr />5/<wbr />1

$281.16

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[LongshotWhisperer]

06/19/23 LAD race #8 with scratches (5+10+3.5+12 = 30.5)  Exacta and Trifecta

 

8

PP 8

Little JonyElio J. BarreraRaul Rangel

$26.80

$10.80

$6.20

12

PP 12

MoneystrikeTreylon S AlbertMelton Wilson

–

$3.20

$2.60

7

PP 7

Ronalds GatsbyJose Andres GuerreroShane Wilson

–

–

$3.40

POOL TYPE

RUNNERS

PAYOUT

$1 EXACTA

8/<wbr />12

$43.10

$0.50 TRIFECTA

8/<wbr />12/<wbr />7

$105.60

$0.10 SUPERFECTA

8/<wbr />12/<wbr />7/<wbr />13

$346.66

 

 

 

 

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[LongshotWhisperer]

06/20/23 PRX race #5  favorite #1 scratched (3+10+10+4 = 27)  Exacta, Trifacta and Superfecta

 

7

PP 7

Hashtag No WonderJairo RendonCarlos A David

$14.80

$6.20

$4.00

6

PP 6

Classy AmericanLuis A Rodriguez CastroJoseph Taylor

–

$39.80

$23.80

10

PP 10

DaltonJonathan OcasioLeslye G Bouchard

–

–

$5.20

POOL TYPE

RUNNERS

PAYOUT

$2 EXACTA

7/<wbr />6

$524.40

$0.50 TRIFECTA

7/<wbr />6/<wbr />10

$762.65

$0.10 SUPERFECTA

7/<wbr />6/<wbr />10/<wbr />8

$698.01

need I say more?

[LongshotWhisperer]

E-Ponies photo for 06/20/23 PRX didn’t post … retry

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