[Michael Taylor]

RACE 8
1, Taishan: He’ll probably be on the lead but will need to fend off veteran turf runners as they open stride late which I dont think he can. On another note, if he’s aggressive on the lead he could shake the race up.
2, American Butterfly: This distance and level should keep his name from being called much. He’ll have to beat me.
3, Sugoi: He has shown speed versus much cheaper than he’ll face today. Look for his odds, like his chance to win float upwards to the sky.
4, Field Pass: Found a little road trouble in the G3 Transylvania and it almost cost him the win He struggles a bit at this level but the lack of quality speed entered gives him a chance to factor if he can turn up his late turn of foot but I’ve always like Lemon Drop Kid offspring on turf and will use him just because of that fact.
5, Smooth Like Strait: I think he’s going to be put on the engine and try to wire the field. Should be sharper in his second off the layoff. Velazquez is crafty enough to know what he has under him and The effort in the War Chant at Churchill showed that A repeat of that makes him the one to beat.
6, Sensation: Will try to run with leaders but this should prove to be a flaw exercise. He can alter the race by backing into any runner thats trying to move forward. I think he can be used underneath.
7. King Theo: He won’t do enough to be the winner but there’s always the superfecta.
8, Fancy Liquor: His last two efforts over softer turf conditions were decent. He almost got past 4, Field Pass two back in the G3 Transylvania. I think he challenges for the lead and could get brave if he’s still there as they exit the stretch.

$2.00 WPS 5
$1.00 exacta 4-5 / 4-5-8
.50 trifecta 4-5 / 4-5-8 / 1-4-5-8
.50 cent pick three 4-5 / 2 / 10

RACE 9
1, Cezanne: It appeared that Prat had no idea how to handle him in the Shared Belief, and he finished 4th in a field of four. It appears with the Baffert trained speed this is his race to win. He cuts back and if he gets a clean decisive trip he could be the first under the wire.
2, Echo Town: Ran into some sharp fractions rather easily and when he gathered himself in mid stretch it was over for the rest of the field. He has to go another panel today but if he’s handled correctly I dont see it being a huge problem. He could be tough to deal with in deep stretch.
3, Shashashakemeup: Tougher runners should keep him off the board. He might be able to get into the susuperfecta with a big effort.
4, Vertical Threat: His speed figures are improving, and he stretches out to a distance he’s never raced before. If he gets to the lead early it’s hard to see him holding on to it late. I might stick him in the bottom of my exotic wagers.
5, Digital: He runs well here at Churchill but anything over 6 furlongs is a question. I can only look for him to boost my susuperfecta wager.
6, Tap It To Win: Led the G1 Belmont under stern splits until Tiz The Law decided to take over. There wasn’t much he could do. He then took the lead with strong splits in the G1 HA Jerkens and got the lead late but was taken over by a determined Echo Town. I think his spirit may be a bit broken but I’ll just use him in the trifecta today. Tough horse and he will return I believe.
7, No Parole: Will show early speed but will it last an extra furlong. I dont think he can go gate to wire, but he will affect the outcome if others try to go with him. He can hang around for lessor purse money.
8, Sonneman: Tougher runners that he met in the H.A. Jerkins should be enough to keep him from getting his photo taken. He can show late speed and perhaps challenge for a superfecta trip.
9, Rushie: First start off the layoff, and he may need this race before he’s in peak condition. Turns back a few panels and this should help. Both times he’s gone this distance the trips weren’t impressive. To win he will need things to go his way, but he’s probably better used underneath.

$2.00 WPS 2
$1.00 exacta 2 / 9
$1.00 exacta box 2-9
.50 trifecta 2 / 9 / 6
.10 cent superfecta 2 / 9 / 6 /3-4-5-8
.50 cent pick three 2 / 10 / 4

RACE 10
1, Drop Anchor: Stretches out and his average speed won’t sway me to use him.
2, Sittin On Go: He’ll need more here to win.
3, Super Stock: Lone Star invaders may have enough if rated to last for the gimmicks. He will probably run himself off the board.
4, Ultimate Badger: He must deal with the added distance and shouldn’t be a threat to these.
5, Dreamer’s Disease: Switches from turf to dirt and this barn is adequate doing that. He isn’t the quickest and something tells me he shouldn’t be on the lead if he wants to win.
6, Belafonte: He gets the hood added to focus after the slow start in his last. He showed one move before flattening out and I think this will hurt any chance he has to win.
7, Pico d’Oro: His barn has been bringing him alng, and he looks like he could roll today. Tacks one another furlong but must show he like running over the Churchill surface. I dont think he really does and for me this regulates him to gimmick usage.
8, Midnight Bourbon: He beat a soft, slow group in his last but will need more to repeat today. Pace setter could alter the outcome if left alone on the lead and gets brave. I think he’s just a gimmick runner at best.
9, Crazy Shot: He’ll need a lot of luck to win. Not for me today.
10, Therideofalifetime: His name fits for this race only and his back class should offer him all the relief he needs to contend for the win. If Ge roux can rate him for two extra furlongs this should be his race to lose. I think he’ll be a little too tough for these if he doesn’t regress.
11, Notary: He won’t be fast enough to win outright and will need a lot of pace help to even have a remote chance. I dont think he will get this, and he’s running for a superfecta finish at best.

$2.00 WPS $101.00 exacta 10 / 7-8
.50 cent trifecta 10 / 7-8
.10 cent superfecta 10 / 7-8 / 7-8 / 1-6-7-8-11
.50 cent pick three 10 / 4 / 1-2-8

RACE 11
1, She’sonthewarpath: Not enough speed to be considered a threat although she runs well at this distance. Next.
2, Daddy Is a Legend: I’m not sure what happened in her last but I think it can be tossed as she virtually stopped in the stretch. She’s consistent at this distance and should be stronger in her second start off the layoff. With a couple of breaks she could win.
3, Juliet Foxtrot: Early pace setter could find it difficult to keep closers from going right on past her in deep stretch. This distance is in her wheel house, and she’ll need everything she has to win, but she’s better used underneath.
4, Newspaperofrecord: She may have benefited from a tune up race, but she’s nothing but speed and if she can get it going will be tough to catch. She’s well rested from the Chad Brown stable and clearly had the bullseye on her at this distance, surface and track.
5, Harmless: And her name fits her in this group. She rarely shows the late speed like she did in her last and this should keep her off the board.
6, Beau Recall: This veteran graded stakes runner looks tough but is showing declining form. She likes this distance. Her class as well as the late speed she possesses can keep her in contention for an in the money finish.
7, La Signare: I think she’s needs more to a threat. I dont think she’s ready to perform her best.
8, Bella Laura: It would be a surprise to see her near the leaders today. I have to look at others.

$2.00 WPS 4
$1.00 exacta 4 / 2-3-6
.50 trifecta 4 / 2-3-6
.10 cent superfecta 2-4 / 2-4-3-6 / 2-4-3-6 / 1-2-3-4-6-7
.50 cent pick three 4 / 8-9 / 1-2-8

Race 12
1, Mia Mischief: She usually runs better after a race off the layoff. She likes running over this surface and has only missed the board once in 9 races. The 7 panels will probably see her come up just short enough to miss the win.
2, Shesomajestic: She should be over matched.
3, Wild wood’s Beauty: Seven furlong specialist just cant seem to do enough to hit the mark. I think there is a chance she can close with a rush and could pump up the superfecta.
4, Bell’s The One: She’s not consistent enough to be a big threat and unless something strange happens, she should miss the board.
5, Crazy Sexy Munny: errr no.
6, Sally’s Curlin: I think she will be out classed and can only make a superfecta run due to her late speed and number of not so strong runners entered.
7, Lady Kate: Not today. The classier runners will keep her in the back of the pack.
8, Serengeti Empress: She has the speed to get a big lead and then try to turn back others in the stretch. This is no guaranteed win for her. Speed figures are all over the place and you have to wonder who’s going to show. The triple digit wonder filly or the spit the bitter this distance is what she likes and she’s hard to dismiss but….
9, Bellafina: She’s never missed the board at 7 furlongs and that should hold true today. There’s not much to beat entered but her speed is so inconsistent. She’s a money burner so if you use her be aware of that fact.
10, Ce Ce: California shipper will need to prove she can handle this surface. Note the good trip at Oak lawn which a lot of runners find tough. The cutback in distance should help her and with a clean trip a win isn’t out of the question but I’ll use her in my gimmick plays.

$2.00 WPS 8
$1.00 exacta 8-9 / 8-9-10
.10 cent superfecta 8 / 8-9-10 / 8-9-10 /3-6-8-9-10
.50 cent pick three 8-9 / 1-2-8 / 17

Race 13
1, Factor This: Riding a 4 race win streak he’s going to help set the pace. He races well here and this distance seems to be what he likes. Long time rider Bridgman knows what he can do and if he improves should be among leaders as the hit the wire.
2, Bowies Hero: He could regress a bit over Churchill’s turf surface after racing mostly in California. Erratic speed figures also make it tough to see which runner you will get but this distance might make it a little tough to chose him as a winner.
3, Rock emperor: Well traveled turf runner has all the late speed you desire in a turf runner but will be at the mercy of the pace. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two starts and I think he comes up a step short today if they even run a tick faster standard fractions then normal.
4, Digital Age: I think he’s in over his head. I have to pass.
5, Don’tblamerocket: Not for me at this level.
6, Mr Dumas: He simply can not run with these.
7, True Valor: He may have seen his better racing days.
8, Sacred Life: I dont think he’s a huge threat to win but I do like some of the big late speed he seems to show. If he gets swift early splits that tire out leaders you may see him barreling into deep stretch upset minded but I will use him in my gimmicks.
9. Somelikeithotbrown: When racing on the green stuff he’s a slightly different animal. He’s only missed the board once in 7 tries on sod. He should tire and back up but I think he might stick around for the trifecta.
10, Spectacular Gem: I dont think he will be a threat but not he has won 5 of his 9 turf starts versus cheaper. That definitely doesn’t mean he will have a big shot here but I think I would like to see him inflate my superfecta.

$2.00 WPS 1
$1.00 exacta 1 / 2-8
.50 cent trifecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9
.10 cent superfecta 1 / 2-8 / 2-3-8-9 / 1-2-3-8-9-10

1, Finnick The Fierce: At least his owners can says for the rest of their lives “We had a derby runner…….ONCE”
2, Max Player: Ran under restraint and made a tepid bid as they hit the stretch in the Travers and just out muscled others to hit the board. Had to swing wide to get a clear path in the Belmont. I think if he can find a clean path and gets it together in the stretch he can hit the board but must avoid traffic in this large group.
3, Enforceable: Had a eventful trip in the Louisiana Derby and somehow got close to hitting the board while chasing decent splits. His 4th place finish in the Blue Grass was also nothing to write home about he as just ran and passed a lot of tired horses. Use him underneath.
4, Storm The Court: Thank you for participating, have a nice day!
5, Major Fed: Straight to the back of the pack in the Louisiana Derby. Made his move at the 1/2 mile pole but had nowhere to go. When he got his hole he traded paint with 14, Modernist in the stretch and that may have stopped his forward progress. The trip in the Matt Winn was a disaster. Let’s forget it. He somehow managed to run into a subpar pace in the Indiana Derby to earn a place finish. I think he’s good for superfecta placings at best
6, King Guillermo: He tracked the pace in the Arkansas derby and got close to eventual winner Nadal but was unable to get past him. Upset the Tampa Bay Derby at 50-1 when the favorite Sole Vol ante fail to get to him. I think he won’t run nearly as “well” as he did in those two starts, and he may be useful in superfecta wagers if they are affordable.
7, Money Moves: Not a lot to say about this one but if he recreates his last could boost the superfecta a few dollars
8, South Bend: He’s too slow to get excited about.
9, Mr. Big News: Just looped around the circuit mostly behind a wall of horses in the Blue Grass and was forgettable. he’ll have to beat me.
10, A Thousand Words:No, got lucky in the Shared belief, and he will definitely have to beat me today.
11, Necker Island: Had to pump the brakes in the Matt Winn despite the tepid pace. He never truly recovered but to me his stretch run looked good. he stumbled and pushed to the front in the Indiana Derby where he settled and track the pace running three wide through the turn and fought gamely to claim third. Not sure he can be a factor today
12, Sole Vol ante: Came up the rail strongly from a long way back in the Tampa Bay Derby but was too late to reach 49-1 winner King Guillermo. There may be too much traffic as he tries to pass others to reach the winner in this race but has the late speed to hit the board if he finds a clear path.
13, Attachment Rate: Raced mid pack early in the Blue Grass and was blocked when he tried to move forward. Reengaged the pace and made a nice move to leaders but was unable to gain ground. Tracked pace setters in the Matt Winn and when asked, seem to take a while to respond, but he did move firmly in the stretch. Looks like he could run for minor rewards if he can clear traffic
14, Winning Impression: He should be a also ran.
15, Ny Traffic: Nothing bad to say in his Louisiana Derby effort where he tracked the gate to wire winner Wells bayou at long odds. Our finished the large field despite drifting badly in mid stretch. In the Matt Winn I dont think Lopez expected the slower times but welcomed them where he almost out finished a surging 10, Max field. He’s hard not to like and if he runs his own race could, COULD, take advantage of a less then ideal trip from Tiz the Law.
16, Honor A.P.: Staked pace setters in the Santa Anita derby. Once Smith let him loose he made quick work of the field to win it. The Shared belief was not much more then a 4 horse tuneup but it was am ominous trip. I think it solidi es him as a gimmick runner.
17. Tiz the Law: What can i say. Only some terrible racing luck should keep him from winning this. Breaks from post position 17 helps him keep clear of he field and this is what he wants. I see no reason he should lose this unless Franco loses his ever loving mind.
18, Authentic: Led the Haskell gate to wire under a stout pace but almost gave it away to 15, Ny Traffic late. Broke outwardly in the Santa Anita and it cost him ground Overwhelming favorite failed to win but didn’t look too tired in the stretch. His lack of desire to finish a race strongly will keep him from winning and possibly off the board.

$2.00 WPS 17
$1.00 exacta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18
.50 trifecta 17 / 2-13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-12-15-16-18
.10 cent superfecta 17 / 13-15-16-18 / 2-3-12-15-16-18 / 2-3-5-7-11-12-13-15-16-18

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