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Home Forums Horse Racing Picks CHURCHILL DOWNS FRIDAY 6-25-2021 – KELLEYS LANDING STAKES

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    • #195052
      Participant
      consensus Choice
      • 842 Total Posts
      NewWeanlingYearling
      Rank: Yearling

      CHURCHILL DOWNS

      JUNE 25, 2021

      RACE 10 – KELLY’S LANDING STAKES $110,000 7 FURLONGS

      #9 ART COLLECTOR (7/5) – THE 2020 G2 BLUEGRASS STAKES WINNER WAS LAST SEEN FINISHING EIGHTH IN THE BREEDERS’ CUP DIRT MILE AT KEENELAND LAST NOVEMBER. SHOWED HE CAN SPRINT, WINNING AN OPTIONAL $75K AT TODAYS 7 FURLONG DISTANCE AT CHURCHILL LAST MAY COMING OFF A SIMILAR LAYOFF. BASED PURELY ON CLASS HE DESERVES TOP BILLING. WHILE HE HAS YET TO SHOW SUCEESS IN A STAKES SPRINT BUT THIS OVERNIGHTER IS A GOOD PLACE TO START.

      #2 STRIKE POWER (4/1) – WHILE COMING OFF A GOOD SECOND IN THE $150K MARYLAND SPRINT AT PIMLICO, HIS SUCCESS HAS LARGELY BEEN IN OPTIONAL CLAIMERS. HE DID NARROWLY LOSE THE G2 TRU NORTH AT BELMONT BACK IN 2019 BUT STRIKES OUT WAY TOO MUCH.

      #6 BANGO (9/2) – COMES OFF A WELL-DESERVED WIN IN THE $150K ARISTIDES HERE AFTER BATTLING THE LIKES OF FLAGSTAFF AND WHITMORE IN THE G1 CHRCHILL DOWNS SPRINT. HAS WON 5 OF 8 TRIES AT CHURCHILL DOWNS. WOULD BE MY PICK IF NOT FOR THE PRESENCE OF ART COLLECTOR.

      #3 BOURBON CALLING (8/1) – SHOWED HE COULD SPRINT AT CHARLESTOWN WINNING A MINOR STAKES AT THIS DISTANCE LAST AUGUST AND WON SPRINTING AT CHURCHILL IN 2019. HE IS ANOTHER DEEP CLOSER.

      #4 LONG RANGE TODDY (8/1) – DROPPED INTO A SPRINT STAKES LAST TIME AFTER A LONG DROUGHT ROUTING, AND NEARLY WON COMING FROM LAST TO JUST MISS IN A CLOSE LOSS TO BANGO. I SAW A SIMILAR PATTERN WIN EARLIER THIS YEAR AT CHURCHILL SO DON’T UNDERESTIMATE HIM AT A SQUARE PRICE.

      #7 ALOHA WEST (8/1) – HAS RUN THREE EXCELLENT RACES IN 4 STARTS, NETTING 2 WINS AND A NOSE LOSS. NEVER BEEN IN A STAKES BUT HIS ALLOWANCE WIN LAST TIME HERE AT CHURCHILL AT TODAY’S DISTANCE WAS FOR A SIMILAR PURSE VALUE. WON LAST BY 5 BUT IS ANOTHER LATE RUNNER IN A FIELD FILLED WITH PACE DEPENDENT RUNNERS.

      BETTING SUMMARY – ART COLLECTOR IS THE ONE TO BEAT AND WILL TAKE ALL THE MONEY. MUST USE HIM. WOULDN’T BE SURPRISED IF HE WINS BY FIVE BUT IT ALSO WOULDN’T SHOCK ME IF HE GETS BEAT. THE RACE RUNS THROUGH HIM AS THE OTHER CONTENDERS DON’T SEEM TO HAVE HIS KIND OF RAW ABILITY.

      IF PACE MAKES THE RACE, THEN STRIKE POWER HAS A CHANCE. WHILE HE IS NOT VERY RELIABLE IN THE STRETCH RUN, HE HAS EARLY SPEED WHICH COULD BE THE KEY TO SUCCESS IN A FIELD FILLED WITH LATE RUNNERS.

      BANGO WON FROM BEHIND LAST TIME BUT HAS WON A COUPLE OF TIMES ON THE FRONT END AND THAT WILL LIKELY BE THE STRATEGY TODAY. LIKE HIS WIN RECORD AT CHURCHILL, 5 WINS IN 8 STARTS.

      LONG RANGE TODDY HAD A TON OF TROUBLE AT THE START AND WITH A BETTER BREAK MAY TURN THE TABLES ON BANGO. HIS STABLE MAY FEEL HE MAY BE A BETTER SPRINTER THAN A ROUTER. HE HASN’T HAD MUCH SUCCESS ROUTING FOR QUITE A WHILE.

    • #199962
      Participant
      Stephen
      • 17 Total Posts
      NewWeanlingYearling
      Rank: Yearling

      Where r u, my brother ?……..

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