CHURCHILL DOWNS ANALYSIS FOR WEDNESDAY – 10/28/2020 RACES 8-10

[consensus Choice]

CHURCHILL DOWNS ANALYSIS FOR WEDNESDAY – 10/28/2020 RACES 8-10

RACE 8

E/S – BACK TO A DIRT SPRINT AT 6 FURLONGS. A CONTESTED EARLY PACE LED BY CHASING ANNA 8/1, LONG TERM THINKING 6/5 AND LAKE NIMROD 2/1.

C – 2 CLOSERS LONGSHOT NILES CHANNEL 12/1 AND BUBBA CABALLO 8/1 LIKE TO RUN LATE BUT COULD BE HARD PRESSED TO CATCH THE TOP  2 SPEEDERS.

X-FACTORS – LONGSHOT NIGHT CANDY 15/1 IS THE ONLY FIRST TIMER.

RACE 9

ANOTHER TURF ROUTE AT 1 3/8 MILES.

E/S – ONLY REAL SPEED IS LONGSHOT SHIMMERING 12/1.

C – BIG TIME CLOSER IS SURSUM CORDA 9/2. FIRST COURSE (AE) 3/1 ALSO RUNS BIG LATE AT A TURF DISTANCE  THAT IS OFTEN WON BY CLOSERS. OTHERS THAT RUN BEST FROM BEHIND WITH REALISTIC CHANCES TO HIT THE BOARD ARE COILEAN BROWN 7/2, THREE FLAMINGOS 6/1 AND QUIET DIGNITY 7/2.

X-FACTORS – WAR LIKE GODDESS 6/1 HAS RACED WELL BUT IS UNRATED.

RACE 10

E/S – MILE RACE HAS A DOMINATE FRONT RUNNER IN DRINK 9/5. HE SHOULD BE TOUGH TO CATCH. IF HE SHOULD FALTER THOSE CHASING COULD INHERIT THE LEAD IN THE STRETCH, SUBDUED 3/1, LONGSHOT HITTHEGROUNDRUNNIN 15/1, LONGSHOT BLAZED UP 12/1 AND LEA RIDGE 8/1.

C – THERE ARE NO CREDIBLE CLOSERS, SO FEEL FREE TO “KEY THE SPEED”

 

[Author]

Posts