CHURCHILL DOWNS ANALYSIS FOR SATURDAY – 9/19/2020

[consensus Choice]

CHURCHILL DOWNS ANALYSIS FOR SATURDAY – 9/19/2020

RACE 1

E/S – ONLY HORSE WITH KNOWN SPEED IS BODE’S LIGHT 4/1.

X-FACTORS – 5 FIRSTERS AND 2 UNKNOWNS.

RACE 2

SMALL MAIDEN FIELD WITH SOME FAST HORSES.

E/S – SEA GARDEN 7/2 SHOULD MAKE THE LEAD AT SOME POINT. OCTAVA 8/1 AND VILLANELLE 2/1 CAN MAKE IT A RACE.

C – TOP CLOSERS SHE’S A DEAL 3/1 AND GLAMOUR GIRL 5/2.

RACE 3

NOT MUCH VALUE WITH ONLY 5 BETTING INTERESTS.

E/S – BIG SPEED FROM LASTCHANCEFORLOVE 4/1 AND PERFECT HAPPINESS 8/5.

C – WHILE EVERY ENTRANT HAS MORE EARLY SPEED THAN LATE KICK, CASUAL 2/1 AND FAIR MAIDEN 5/2 ARE QUICKEST IN THE LANE.

LS – ELLE Z 15/1 SHOULD BE INVOLVED IN EARLY PACE BATTLE.

RACE 4

DIRT SPRINT

E/S – TOP SPEEDER IS MAJESTIC EDGE 7/2. FREE 5/2 AND MISS JACQUELINE 4/1 WILL BE CHASING.

C – NONE

RACE 5

DIRT SPRINT FOR MAIDEN CLAIMERS.

E/S – TKOTCHKE 2/1 HAS SUPERIOR EARLY GAS. LOOKIN FOR LOKI 5/2 WILL BE IN THE HUNT,

C – SOUTHERN PASSAGE 4/1 SHOWED GOOD CLOSING ABILITY.

X-FACTORS – 5 FIRST TIMERS, INCLUDING ML CONTENDERS PORTAL ONE 4/1 AND CLEARLY MAD 8/1.

RACE 6

E/S – LAURA’S ANGLE 4/1 HAS OK EARLY SPEED.

C – MISSPELL 8/5 IS TOUGH CLOSER

X-FACTORS – 6 FIRSTERS AND 3 UNKNOWNS

LS – REGAL SONG 10/1 HAS BIG TIME SPEED AND SHOULD TAKE THEM AS FAR AS HE CAN.

RACE 7

3 YEAR OLDS GOING 7 FURLONGS.

E/S – TOP 2 BIG SPEEDERS ARE LONELY PRIVATE 4/1 AND HOP KAT 3/1.

C – TOP 2 CLOSERS ARE EVENLY MATCHED VICTORY BOULEVARD 5/1 AND HOMBRAZO 5/1.

RACE 8

2-YEAR OLD MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS GO A MILE

PATTY H 2/1 COULD TAKE THEM HOSTAGE EARLY. GOOD PENNY 8/1 AND ROOKERY 3/1 WILL BE IN PURSUIT.

C – NONE

RACE 9

1 MILE ON TURF

E/S – SHOULD BE GOOD EARLY BATTLE BETWEEN BG TIME SPEED MERCHANTS SAINTSATION 8/1 AND GOLDEN CURL 5/2.

C – TOP CLOSER IS DEPUTY DORA 8/1.

X-FACTOR – SIAMESE 6/1

LS – EDGEE ANGEL 10/1 IS TOP CLOSER ON HIS BEST DAY.

RACE 10

6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT FOR MAIDEN CLAIMERS.

E/S – BIG SPEED FROM ON YOUR MARK 5/1. MONTE NE 8/1 AND IT’S A WRAP 7/2 WILL BE STALKING FROM CLOSE UP.

C – BIG TIME CLOSER IS OAK ROOM 9/2.

X-FACTORS – PERFECT SENSE 6/1 AND TRIBULATION 15/1 ARE THE TWO FIRST TIMERS.

LS – DECISION MAKER 10/1 CAN MAKE HIS PRESENCE FELT LATE.

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