Home › Forums › Horse Racing Handicapping › 2023 KENTUCKY DERBY UPDATE
- This topic has 0 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated May 4, 2023 at 3:28 pm by LongshotWhisperer.
May 4, 2023 at 3:28 pm #245086ParticipantLongshotWhisperer
- 59 Total Posts
So my Handicap Information has gone to MODERATION STATUS because I have included a link to my Information site so lets do this (dot) = “.” so go to derby(dot)2ya(dot)com This is an ad free site with only information I have submitted on E-Ponies since the 2020 Derby. I am doing this because it is time sensitive. My picks for 2023 derby will be posted on “HORSE RACING PICKS” later today.
I downloaded the simple file data for the 2023 Kentucky Derby. Post designations were not confirmed so my one program did not function and I will have to download the data file either Wednesday or Thursday so that the data file conforms to what I need in order to run my Modern Pace Handicapping analysis of the 2023 Kentucky Derby.
For now I have six PDF files containing the 2023 Derby Past performances and their importance
#1 Regular PP – the important thing here is to determine a class ranking for the horse based upon running times of a race. This is my breakdown of exceptional times to look for:
<p align=”LEFT”>It depends on the distance whether you use speed or pace as an indicator. For example according to the book “Modern Pace Handicapping” 6 furlong and route races over 1 1/16 you want to use pace. The rest are better facilitated by speed. Dropping in class is always best if the times of the race merit a true indicator of class (5f :55-:57; 6f 1:07-1:08; 6.5f 1:14-1:18; 7f 1:20-1:22; 8f 1:33-1:35; 1 1/16 1:39-1:42; 1 1/8 1:47-1:49; 1 1/4 1:57-1:59) I don’t care what the horse’s odds are if they meet these indicators. So once I have a contender I look at the quarter times of their last race especially if it is close to the same distance of today’s race. HINT: if the horse’s fractional quarter time is the same as the leaders then you have a real contender to blow away the competition.</p>
#2 Leader’ s Fractions – In this case we are looking at Past performance listing of the incremental fractions of the horse in the lead for a race. These fractions can be useful when compared to the participant horse’s incremental fractions.
pic chart #26 Late Pace sample of one of the 27 handicapping factors plus Past Performance sheets indicating #1-#6 of additional factors as explained above as well as on the site.
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