Home › Forums › Professional Picks › 4/13/25 RACING PICKS
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jim johnson / 5thstreetpicks.
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April 13, 2025 at 9:53 am #273616
TAMPA BAY
Race 1: 6 Furlongs Dirt (Maiden Claiming $10,000/$8,000)
Top 3 Contenders:#1 Paez
Current Condition: Excellent, with solid workouts coming into the race.
Speed Ratings: Competitive at this level, with fast fractions in previous races.
Form Fit: A consistent performer; has been improving race after race.
Hidden Upside: Has shown signs of closing well, could break through here.
Recent Effort: Close finish in last two races; improvement noted.
Form Suitability: Strong fit for a 6-furlong dirt race.
#6 Rusty Pistol
Current Condition: Excellent shape, good form leading into this race.
Speed Ratings: Consistently fast on dirt; often runs in competitive packs.
Form Fit: Matches up well with field; typically near the top.
Hidden Upside: Could be more versatile, potentially finding more speed here.
Recent Effort: A close second last time out, showing good consistency.
Form Suitability: Good fit for distance and dirt surface.
#7 Final Drama
Current Condition: Solid, but needs to push through some mental lapses.
Speed Ratings: Middle-tier speed but can show bursts.
Form Fit: Fits well with the competition at this level.
Hidden Upside: Still learning, could improve with a little more maturity.
Recent Effort: Some mixed results, but close to a breakthrough.
Form Suitability: Good fit for a 6-furlong race, shows good closing.
Race 2: 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt (Claiming $25,000/all)
Top 3 Contenders:#5 Fattoush
Current Condition: Peak form, with strong finishes in recent races.
Speed Ratings: High, regularly near the front.
Form Fit: Perfectly suited to the distance and conditions.
Hidden Upside: Has more in the tank if jockey can push early.
Recent Effort: Dominated recent starts, showing off early speed.
Form Suitability: Excellent fit; a top contender for this distance.
#1 Guaio
Current Condition: Strong, always competitive in sprints.
Speed Ratings: Fast enough to challenge the top pack.
Form Fit: Consistently in the mix; good fit for this class.
Hidden Upside: Could improve with slightly better position early.
Recent Effort: Solid performances, but a little less explosive in the final stretch.
Form Suitability: Solid fit for a 6 1/2 furlong dirt race.
#4 Whiskey Or Wine
Current Condition: Strong, with a good balance of stamina and speed.
Speed Ratings: Competitive, typically a mid-to-top tier horse.
Form Fit: Strong middle-range fit; often finishes in top half.
Hidden Upside: Has the potential for a late kick, improving with each race.
Recent Effort: Last outing was solid, just off the winner.
Form Suitability: Good distance and dirt surface compatibility.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs Dirt (Maiden Claiming $25,000/$20,000)
Top 3 Contenders:#4 Acquisitive
Current Condition: Very sharp, showing top form coming into the race.
Speed Ratings: Among the fastest in the field, can contest for the lead.
Form Fit: Excellent fit; versatile with decent stamina.
Hidden Upside: Could improve further, showing promise in recent efforts.
Recent Effort: Finished well in last race; improving steadily.
Form Suitability: Perfect fit for 6-furlong dirt sprints.
#6 Arrow Ghost
Current Condition: Good form and fitness, ready for a strong effort.
Speed Ratings: Competitive; likes to sit off the pace and make a move.
Form Fit: Matches up well with the pace and class.
Hidden Upside: Could capitalize on the right trip; sneaky contender.
Recent Effort: A strong finish in the last race shows potential.
Form Suitability: Very good for the sprint distance.
#1 Blue Marble
Current Condition: Has had some mixed efforts but showing improvement.
Speed Ratings: Speedy but lacks consistency; needs a perfect trip.
Form Fit: Slightly inconsistent but competitive at this level.
Hidden Upside: Could improve with a smoother trip; longshot potential.
Recent Effort: Recent race showed good bursts, but faded late.
Form Suitability: Well-suited for a fast-paced 6-furlong race.
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf (Maiden Special Weight)
Top 3 Contenders:#5 Chandigarh
Current Condition: Peak fitness, has been training very well.
Speed Ratings: Among the fastest turf horses in the race.
Form Fit: Excellent turf form, fits perfectly with race distance.
Hidden Upside: Still has more to give, likely to improve further.
Recent Effort: Strong form coming into this race with multiple good efforts.
Form Suitability: Perfect for 1-mile turf races; well-suited.
#1 Take the Gold
Current Condition: In very good form, consistently at the top.
Speed Ratings: High speed for the class; can be a factor in the stretch.
Form Fit: Matches up well with turf and mile distance.
Hidden Upside: Could be ready for a breakout run with the right setup.
Recent Effort: Very strong showing in last race, finishing close.
Form Suitability: Good fit for the turf and distance.
#4 Wonderfinn
Current Condition: In solid form, but still has room for improvement.
Speed Ratings: Competitive enough for the top pack.
Form Fit: Good turf form; needs to find another gear to be top-level.
Hidden Upside: Likely to improve with better positioning.
Recent Effort: Showed solid effort but not quite at peak yet.
Form Suitability: Well-suited for this distance and surface.
Race 5: 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt (Maiden Special Weight, Fillies and Mares)
Top 3 Contenders:#2 Princess Norma
Current Condition: Great form, coming off solid efforts.
Speed Ratings: Very fast, can compete with the best of them.
Form Fit: Perfectly suited for this sprint distance.
Hidden Upside: Likely has more to offer with better race positioning.
Recent Effort: Very strong recent performances, likely to break through.
Form Suitability: Excellent fit for this distance and dirt surface.
#3 Soundtrack
Current Condition: Ready to fire, recent performances are strong.
Speed Ratings: Competitive with the top horses in this race.
Form Fit: Matches up well with other sprinters.
Hidden Upside: Could surprise with an improvement in positioning.
Recent Effort: Showed good speed and stamina in recent races.
Form Suitability: Excellent fit for 5 1/2 furlongs dirt.
#8 Lady Aberdeen
Current Condition: In good form, training well.
Speed Ratings: Fast enough to compete; sits well with the pace.
Form Fit: Best suited to a tactical race; capable of closing.
Hidden Upside: Could have more stamina than previously shown.
Recent Effort: Improved effort in last race, could continue upward.
Form Suitability: Strong fit for this sprint distance.
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