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Michael Taylor.
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June 5, 2021 at 2:20 pm #193510
Swiss Skydiver: Runs over Belmont sandy course for the first time and her form of fall 2020 is gone but she’s retained her last speed and this could be enough to see this veteran graded stakes runner finish in the money.
2, Valiance: She hasn’t raced since the Breeders Cup in November but has been training well for the Pletcher barn. She may not revert back top the form she had before the layoff but could be ready to surprise me.
3, Letruska: Will bust out the gate and try to take this group all the way to the wire. She puts up big efforts off barks and today should be no different The barn is decency preparing running and they get Ortiz aboard. They have to beat her and don’t see many that can in this short field.
4, Queen Nekia: Without something crazy happening I don’t see her running well enough to win. Its just her third start for 2020 and I just don’t think she’ll get the job done.
5, Shedaresthedevel: if she improves in her second start off the layoff she’s about the only one I think that can challenge 3, Letruskaeverything points to her being a major player here and its hard to ignore here.
7, White Water: She’s in a tough spot and at least 2 spots are not going to be here. If she shows up in the moony I will be surprised.
7, Bonny South: Showed none of her late speed in her last but didn’t need it to win. I think she’s in against two tougher runners that williwaw it hard for her to win. Unless the pace falls apart completely I think she’s running for lesser purse money.$2.00 WPS 3
$1.00 exact 3-5 / 3-5-7
.10 cent superfecta 3-5 /3-5-7/ 3-5-7 / ALL1, Zofelle: Showed plenty of late speed in her last three but seems unable to win races that lack early pace. There’s not a lot of early pace here and the one runner that shows it will probably be tough for her to get past.
2, Sweet Bye and Bye: Will be on the pace here but could struggle to keep running on as they enter deep stretch. She does like the Belmont turf and I think she can contend for an in the money finish.
3, Daddy Is A Legend: Not sure she’ll run well enough with these to even be a minor factor. Her 2019 form is now a distant memory. I’ll pass.
4, Regal Glory: She’s only raced twice in 2021 and I think we have seen her best form back in April. If others are on thither game she’s regulated to the superfecta at best.
5, Always Shopping: She cuts back to a much shorter distance but I think she will be out ran by many of these. It wouldn’t surprise me if she won but there may be some Euro’s and a few other runners that will be better then she is at this point.
6, Pocket Square: Chad Brown moves this one up in class. Showed toms of late speed versus cheaper on less then firm turf conditions in her last. I think she shows more today and should be a factor
7, Abscond: She doesn’t show the speed to win this race. She needs swift fractions to run into but the ones who have it may keep running and not spit the bit to let her get involved. This should regulate her to the superheat at best.
8, Althiqua: Comes in from Dubai and must adapt to American style racing. I can’t read overseas runner well but I think she hits the board under Mike Smith.
9. Summer Romance: Another runner from Dubai that I don’t think can beat this field but can figure in the money.
10, Tamahere: There’s probably too much speed for her to win. She should be well rested and while she has no turn of foot I think she moves forward with firmer turf conditions.
11, Blowout: This group should test her but I think she can run well enough to at Belmont to scare those who left her off their wagers. I think she’ll be on the lead but will have a tough time fending off others in deep stretch. I like her and may use her on top with others.
12, New York Girl: Couldn’t catch 11, Blowout in her last. She could be sharper today and the outcome may be reversed. If she gets that swift early pace from other she could come running late.$2.00 WPS 11
$1.00 exacta box 6-9-11-12
1, Mischievous Alex: He didn’t fare well at all in his lone Belmont start in the G1 Woody Stephens. He’s seems to have turned things around for 2021 and is on three race win streak he stretches out to a mile distance and I think he will show up late to make a race out of it.
2,Dr Post: I think Pletcher sends him but that could cost him . He runs well at this track and but could bounce. He’s no lock to win but I can’t ignore him either.
3, Silver State: Its his first start at Belmont and he will probably track the pace and try to move past leaders late. If he can grab hold of this track he could make things interesting late.
4, Lexitonian: Shows decent speed but the final stages is where he should go off track. These should be too fast late in the race for him.
5, By My Standards: It’d be a mild upset if he were to win. I think he’s good for the bottom of my gimmick plays.
6, Knicks Go: He’s clearly the one to beat but I have some doubts with him retiring for Saudi Arabia. He’s training lights out and while Im not 100% on him he can’t be totally looked over$2.00 WPS 11
$1.00 exacta box 6-9-11-12$2.00 WPS 6
$1.00 exacta 6 / 1-2-3
.50 cent trifecta 6 / 1-2-3
.10 superfecta 6 / 1-2-3 / 1-2-3 / 1-2-3-5
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