BELMONT PARK ANALYSIS FOR FRIDAY – 9/18/2020

RACE 1

E/S – SPANISH PEAKS 4/5 IS HEAD AND SHOULDERS FASTER THAN HIS OPPONENTS, THUS HIS SHORT ML PRICE.SEVEN SEVENTEEN 8/1 IS THE ONLY OTHER SPEED BUT SHOULD BE WELL BEHIND THE EARLY LEADER.

C – TUFF BIRD 4/1 IS THE TOP CLOSER BY A LARGE MARGIN.

LS – SOUL ALIBI 10/1 IS SECOND BEST CLOSER AT A PRICE.

RACE 2

E/S – MO FLASH 7/5 IS ANOTHER LONELY LEADER FAVORITE AT A SHORT PRICE. J D’S GIRL 6/1 IS THE ONE MOST LIKELY CLOSEST TO HER EARLY.

C – PRINCESS TRINA 3/1 IS NO FREIGHT TRAIN IN THE LANE BUT IS THE TOP CLOSER. SWORN SILENCE 5/1 ALSO DOES HER BEST RUNNING LATE.

RACE 3

E/S – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED 8/1 IS FASTEST EARLY AT A GOOD PRICE.

C – WEST SIDE GIRL 8/5 IS MOST LIKELY TO BE CLOSEST TO THE EARLY LEADER AND IS THE TOP CLOSER AS WELL,

X-FACTORS – 3 FIRST TIMERS, 2 ML CONTENDERS, WINZE 6/1 AND KATIE’S KARAT 8/1.

RACE 4

E/S – THIRD DIRT SPRINT IN FIRST 4 RACES WITH COULD YOU 2/1 A BREAKAWAY ML FAVORITE. BEHIND THE COUCH 3/1 AND DESTINY’S DARLING 6/1 HAVE ENOUGH SPEED TO BE CLOSE IN CASE TOP HORSE FAILS TO FIRE.

C – TOP CLOSER IS WEST BANK BABY 5/1.

RACE 5

E/S – ANOTHER FAVORITE WITH SUPERIOR EARLY SPEED, LAKE NIMROD 2/1. HE MUST CARRY THAT SPEED IN A TURF ROUTE. TEN FLAT 5/2 AND ADJUDICATOR 3/1 HAVE SIMILAR SPEED AND WILL BE CHASING.

C – HIGHEST DISTINCTION 7/2 IS A SERIOUS CLOSER WHICH SHOULD PLAY WELL ON THIS TURF COURSE.

LS – VEDDER 10/1 IS THE SECOND BEST CLOSER AT A PRICE.

RACE 6

E/S – CHARLIE’SARCHANGEL 7/2 IS FASTEST EARLY, BUT POPULAR KID 7/2 AND FROST OR FRIPPERY 1/1 CAN BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO DISPUTE THE EARLY LEAD.

C – NO ML CONTENDERS

LS – BOTH HOUSE LIMIT 10/1 AND KNIGHT’S CROSS 12/1 CAN RUN WITH THE TOP HORSE EARLY. LONGSHOT CLOSER IS SMIRK 12/1.

RACE 7

ONLY ONE HORSE HAS STARTED AND HE IS SLOW AND THE LONGEST SHOT IN THE FIELD.

X-FACTORS – 8 OF THE NINE STARTERS ARE FIRST TIMERS, 5 OF THEM ML CONTENDERS.

RACE 8

E/S – JEN TAKE CHARGE 5/2 IS THE QUICKEST OF THE ML CONTENDERS. LELE 6/1 IS LIKELY THE CLOSEST TO HER EARLY.

C – SUN SUMMERS 8/5 AND HAT TIP 8/1 WILL BOTH BE FIRING SIMILAR SHOTS LATE.

LS – BOTH LISTEN UP 12/1 AND CHANNEL PRINCESS 15/1 ARE FASTER EARLY ON PAPER THAN JEN TAKE CHARGE BUT ARE LONGSHOTS OFF THEIR CURRENT FORM.

RACE 9

E/S – TOP 2 ML FAVORITES HAVE VASTLY SUPERIOR EARLY SPEED. COMMUNICATOR 2/1 AND ADMIRE 5/2 COULD EASILY RUN 1-2. DON BOURBON 5/1 SHOULD BE WELL BEHIND THE TOP 2 EARLY BUT HAS FINE EARLY SPEED IF ONE OF THE TOP 2 DON’T FIRE.

C – MISTER CANDY RIDE 6/1 IS BEST CLOSER. WHAT A COUNTRY 8/1 AND SAMARONTI 8/1 ALSO DO THEIR BEST RUNNING LATE.

RACE 10

E/S – ONLY TWO RUNNERS HAVE STARTED. MONEY MILES 4/1 HAS DECENT ENOUGH SPEED TO WIN THIS IF THERE ARE NO MONSTERS IN HERE.

X FACTORS – 8 FIRSTERS, 4 OF THEM ML CONTENDERS.

LS – SPEITFUL SAM 15/1 IS THE ONLY OTHER HORSE WHO HAS RUN IN THE AFTERNOON AND RAN WELL ENOUGH BUT SHOULD FIND SOME OF THE NEW FACES FASTER THAN HIM. STILL EXPERIENCE MATTERS.