Just got my copy of Bloodhorse in the mail saturday and it has all the past performances for the Derby contenders.  Here’s what I see….

•  Any Given Saturday - could find a way to go three wide in a two horse race.  Not the sort you want your Derby hanging on.
• Chelokee - Opportunistic run in the Florida Derby.  Before that maidens and ALW company.  Does he belong with these?
• Circular Quay - not one to believe in all the “must” and “mustn’ts” around the Derby, but he really has been off a long time.  One of the few stone cold closers in the field.  Have to consider in the exotics.  Will need some early speed to set him up.  Not sure he will get it.
• Cobalt Blue - Gave way in the Illinois Derby.  Nuff said.
• Cowtown Cat - Beat no one in the Illinois Derby.  Highly speculative
• Curlin - Lightly raced horses tend to get lost in the crowd in the Derby.  He may be a freak, but I doubt it.
• Dominican - Took him three races to break his maiden.  Made the most of the polystrange surface at KEE.
• Great Hunter - likes to run late, like his daddy.  But usually too late.
• Hard Spun - Will likely be the most overlooked 4 wins in 5 starts horse in the Derby field.  The one he lost is a throw out.  Very dangerous.
• King of the Roxy - Couldn’t hold for the victory in SA Derby. 
• Liquidity - No wins since maiden win.  Giacomo all over again?
• Nobiz Like Showbiz - Gutsy effort in the Wood.  Will likely be part of the pace in the Derby
• Reporting For Duty - No wins since maiden
• Sam P. - No graded wins
• Scat Daddy - A classic stalking style… just like several recent Derby winners.  Barely tested in the FL Derby.  Tough to overlook
• Slew’s Tizzy - there is a reason he went off at monster odds in the Coolmore. 
• Stormello - Won’t like the distance.  Could be part of the pace.  Potential theif?
• Storm in May - Making a career out of running second or third to legitimate Derby hopefuls
• Street Sense - Has done nothing to indicate he has regressed much since his big Juvenile win.  Training like a monster at Churchill.  Pushbutton speed.  The most likely choice to win.
• Teuflesberg - likely to be part of the pace in the Derby.
• Tiago - Wouldn’t bet half-brother of Giacomo in the Derby if he were coupled with Giacomo.  Will need a lot of pace to set him up.  There are better closers in the race.
• Zanjero - No wins besides Mdn and Alw.  Can’t see it.